Sha Tin · 2021-06-13
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BULB PALS, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C H Yip, won by HD, with GRACYLOVE second and MASTER HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite GRACYLOVE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BULB PALS Closed strongly TT1 1.21.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 6 | 40.0 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | GRACYLOVE Closed strongly C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 10 | 3.2 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 14 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 3 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | FORMULA EXCEL Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 12 | 135.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | LUCKY PUZZLE SR C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 75.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | LOYAL BABY Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | LOVE ME MORE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | AUGUST MOON Led early B R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | INNO LEGEND V M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | GALLANT CAVALIER B/TT1 C Y Ho · A T Millard | C Y Ho | A T Millard | 9 | 60.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | PARTY GENIUS CP/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.6 | 4 |
| 13 | 11 | SUNNY BABY B A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 11 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 35.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GRACYLOVE | 23.7% | 4.22 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | MASTER HERO | 18.5% | 5.41 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | PARTY GENIUS | 18.4% | 5.44 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | LOYAL BABY | 10.4% | 9.63 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | INNO LEGEND | 5.5% | 18.29 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | AUGUST MOON | 5.2% | 19.37 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | LOVE ME MORE | 4.0% | 24.92 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | SUNNY BABY | 2.9% | 34.97 | 13 |
| 9 | 6 | BULB PALS | 2.7% | 36.49 | 1 |
| 10 | 13 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 2.7% | 37.45 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | CHARIZARD | 2.3% | 44.12 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE | 2.1% | 48.20 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | FORMULA EXCEL | 0.9% | 109.53 | 5 |
| 14 | 8 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 0.9% | 115.83 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 405
PLACE
2 23.5
4 14.5
6 103.5
QUINELLA
4,6 757.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 47
2,6 508.5
4,6 263
FORECAST
6,4 2,179
TIERCE
6,4,2 13,633
TRIO
2,4,6 1,808
FIRST 4
2,4,6,10 3,001
QUARTET
6,4,2,10 89,273
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 25
6TH DOUBLE
5/4 86
5/6 7,616.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,8,12/4,5,8/Any Combination 431,485