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Sha Tin · 2021-06-13

Race 2

Class 5 WET SLOW 1200m 12 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-13 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. FOR FUN'S SAKE, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by 1-3/4, with TELECOM MISSILE second and WAYFOONG STAR third. The 4.2 favourite TELECOM MISSILE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.10.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 FOR FUN'S SAKE E/TT 1.10.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So 1 6.5 1-3/4
2 10 TELECOM MISSILE TT C Schofield · C Fownes 5 4.2 1-3/4
3 2 WAYFOONG STAR SR T Piccone · D J Whyte 9 9.8 3
4 6 WINNING STRIKES CP-/B2/TT- K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 8 11.0 4
5 1 DOLLAR REWARD P/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 4 4.5 4-1/4
6 5 SUPREME PATROL B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris 12 26.0 5-1/4
7 8 ALLOY KING B A Hamelin · K H Ting 3 10.0 6-1/4
8 11 EVER STRONG P-/PC1 C Y Ho · K L Man 6 8.1 6-1/4
9 9 COOL ACE B-/SR1 H N Wong · L Ho 11 39.0 9-1/4
10 3 JUMBO ENGINE K C Leung · R Gibson 7 118.0 15-1/4
11 4 THE ELITES CP/TT B Shinn · F C Lor 2 124.0 16-1/2
12 7 FOCUS CP-/V1 J Moreira · P F Yiu 10 9.0 23-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FOR FUN'S SAKE2. TELECOM MISSILE+1.75L3. WAYFOONG STAR+3L4. WINNING STRIKES+4L5. DOLLAR REWARD+4.25L6. SUPREME PATROL+5.25L7. ALLOY KING+6.25L8. EVER STRONG+6.25L9. COOL ACE+9.25L10. JUMBO ENGINE+15.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick FOR FUN'S SAKE (32.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 FOR FUN'S SAKE 32.3% 3.10 1
2 1 DOLLAR REWARD 13.7% 7.31 5
3 10 TELECOM MISSILE 11.6% 8.61 2
4 8 ALLOY KING 11.1% 9.01 7
5 7 FOCUS 9.2% 10.90 12
6 6 WINNING STRIKES 6.6% 15.10 4
7 11 EVER STRONG 5.6% 17.97 8
8 5 SUPREME PATROL 3.3% 30.36 6
9 2 WAYFOONG STAR 3.2% 31.20 3
10 4 THE ELITES 1.6% 63.07 11
11 3 JUMBO ENGINE 1.2% 82.37 10
12 9 COOL ACE 0.7% 148.84 9
FOR FUN'S SAKE — wonDOLLAR REWARDTELECOM MISSILEALLOY KINGFOCUSWINNING STRIKESEVER STRONGSUPREME PATROLWAYFOONG STARTHE ELITESJUMBO ENGINECOOL ACE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 65.5

PLACE

2 38.5

10 18.5

12 23

QUINELLA

10,12 143

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 120.5

2,12 109.5

10,12 57.5

FORECAST

12,10 270

TIERCE

12,10,2 2,622

TRIO

2,10,12 470

FIRST 4

2,6,10,12 1,238

QUARTET

12,10,2,6 22,891

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/10 17.5

3/12 125

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 25.5