Sha Tin · 2021-06-13
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly TT 1.33.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 11 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON Closed strongly TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 7.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CASIMIRO Closed strongly H Bentley · P O'Sullivan | H Bentley | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly V/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 6 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 3.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY Closed strongly B- R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 12 | 90.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HELENA BABY XB-/P A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY B/H H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 10 | 36.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT B1 K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 8 | 52.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 13.0 | 15 |
| 13 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B- T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 2 | 101.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SHINY ONE B-/CP1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 102.0 | 23-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-13 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ULTRA EXPRESS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-3/4, with SERIOUS LIAISON second and CALIFORNIA TEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 32.4% | 3.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 21.1% | 4.74 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 10.9% | 9.14 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 10.4% | 9.61 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 8.1% | 12.40 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 6.1% | 16.30 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 3.4% | 29.11 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 1.9% | 51.44 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | HELENA BABY | 1.6% | 62.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY | 1.3% | 76.15 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 1.1% | 94.24 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 0.7% | 138.36 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | SHINY ONE | 0.5% | 185.03 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY | 0.4% | 271.65 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 30.5
PLACE
1 21.5
4 39.5
14 15
QUINELLA
4,14 231
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 139.5
1,14 44
4,14 85.5
FORECAST
14,4 333
TIERCE
14,4,1 1,758
TRIO
1,4,14 439
FIRST 4
1,3,4,14 469
QUARTET
14,4,1,3 7,489
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
2/4 198
2/14 426
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,12/1,4,14 134,413
SIX UP
4,5/4,6/7,9/2,4/2,12/4,14 18,851
5/6/9/2/2/14 6,643,485
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/2/4 1,979
2/2/14 6,042