Sha Tin · 2021-06-13
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-13 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. SKY TREASURE, ridden by H N Wong and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with VEGA RHYTHM second and RUBY STARS third. The 2.8 favourite KA YING BRILLIANCE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SKY TREASURE H 1.11.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | VEGA RHYTHM B/H M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 8 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | RUBY STARS TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 105.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | JUNGLE BLAZE TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 7 | 75.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | KA YING BRILLIANCE B/XB J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 6 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | REGENCY GEM B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | DEMONS ROCK B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 3.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | GRAND POWER H-/B1 T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 10 | 51.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | AEROSONIC P/TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 2 | 23.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ONE HAPPY STAR K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 6.6 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 8 | EURO LAGO M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 23.9% | 4.18 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 19.7% | 5.07 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | DEMONS ROCK | 19.1% | 5.23 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | AEROSONIC | 11.9% | 8.39 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | REGENCY GEM | 9.6% | 10.42 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY TURBO | 6.0% | 16.75 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | VEGA RHYTHM | 4.3% | 23.01 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | JUNGLE BLAZE | 1.7% | 58.79 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | RUBY STARS | 1.5% | 67.53 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | SKY TREASURE | 1.4% | 73.70 | 1 |
| 11 | 4 | GRAND POWER | 0.9% | 114.08 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 206
PLACE
6 197.5
7 57
12 28.5
QUINELLA
7,12 1,203
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 1,533.5
6,12 1,368.5
7,12 249
FORECAST
7,12 3,164
TIERCE
7,12,6 93,435
TRIO
6,7,12 23,206
FIRST 4
2,6,7,12 68,860
QUARTET
7,12,6,2 1,795,654
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
12/7 1,522.5
12/12 113.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 50.5
A2 —