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Sha Tin · 2021-06-13

Race 9

Class 3 WET SLOW 1200m 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MAN STAR V 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K H Ting 12 13.0 1/2
2 0 GUNNISON M F Poon · Y S Tsui 11 16.0 1/2
3 0 MEGA HEART XB/TT T Piccone · C W Chang 9 11.0 2-1/4
4 0 STRIKING MR C B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung 10 43.0 2-3/4
5 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG B K C Leung · K L Man 3 7.0 3-1/2
6 0 SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 6 4.1 4
7 0 RESOLUTE B A Hamelin · A T Millard 8 8.5 5
8 0 HARMONY SPIRIT CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 7 4.9 5-3/4
9 0 SUNSET WATCH P2 N Callan · K W Lui 1 23.0 8
10 0 KAI XIN DRAGON TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes 2 10.0 11-1/2
11 0 FLYING BONUS P K H Chan · C H Yip 4 21.0 13-1/2
12 0 RUN RUN COOL B A Badel · F C Lor 5 12.0 17-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. MAN STAR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with GUNNISON second and MEGA HEART third. The 4.1 favourite SEVEN HEAVENS finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAN STAR—2. GUNNISON+0.5L3. MEGA HEART+2.25L4. STRIKING MR C+2.75L5. STAR OF YUEN LONG+3.5L6. SEVEN HEAVENS+4L7. RESOLUTE+5L8. HARMONY SPIRIT+5.75L9. SUNSET WATCH+8L10. KAI XIN DRAGON+11.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SEVEN HEAVENS (32.1%) finished 6th — the winner MAN STAR was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SEVEN HEAVENS 32.1% 3.12 6
2 0 RUN RUN COOL 10.8% 9.24 12
3 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG 10.1% 9.88 5
4 0 MAN STAR 8.5% 11.78 1
5 0 FLYING BONUS 8.0% 12.47 11
6 0 KAI XIN DRAGON 7.0% 14.19 10
7 0 HARMONY SPIRIT 6.6% 15.04 8
8 0 SUNSET WATCH 5.9% 16.96 9
9 0 RESOLUTE 4.5% 22.20 7
10 0 MEGA HEART 2.3% 43.05 3
11 0 STRIKING MR C 2.2% 46.03 4
12 0 GUNNISON 1.9% 53.56 2
SEVEN HEAVENSRUN RUN COOLSTAR OF YUEN LONGMAN STAR — wonFLYING BONUSKAI XIN DRAGONHARMONY SPIRITSUNSET WATCHRESOLUTEMEGA HEARTSTRIKING MR CGUNNISON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 134

PLACE

2 45.5

4 55.5

8 34.5

QUINELLA

2,4 1,033

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 314.5

2,8 286.5

4,8 225

FORECAST

2,4 1,812

TIERCE

2,4,8 23,021

TRIO

2,4,8 3,926

FIRST 4

2,4,8,12 13,020

QUARTET

2,4,8,12 302,205

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 21.5

A2 —

8TH DOUBLE

9/2 238.5

9/4 22.5