Sha Tin · 2021-06-13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. MAN STAR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with GUNNISON second and MEGA HEART third. The 4.1 favourite SEVEN HEAVENS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MAN STAR V 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 12 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | GUNNISON M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 11 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | MEGA HEART XB/TT T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | STRIKING MR C B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 7.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 4.1 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | RESOLUTE B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 8.5 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | HARMONY SPIRIT CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | SUNSET WATCH P2 N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 1 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | KAI XIN DRAGON TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 2 | 10.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | FLYING BONUS P K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 4 | 21.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | RUN RUN COOL B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 12.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 32.1% | 3.12 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | RUN RUN COOL | 10.8% | 9.24 | 12 |
| 3 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 10.1% | 9.88 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | MAN STAR | 8.5% | 11.78 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | FLYING BONUS | 8.0% | 12.47 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 7.0% | 14.19 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 6.6% | 15.04 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | SUNSET WATCH | 5.9% | 16.96 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | RESOLUTE | 4.5% | 22.20 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | MEGA HEART | 2.3% | 43.05 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | STRIKING MR C | 2.2% | 46.03 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | GUNNISON | 1.9% | 53.56 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 134
PLACE
2 45.5
4 55.5
8 34.5
QUINELLA
2,4 1,033
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 314.5
2,8 286.5
4,8 225
FORECAST
2,4 1,812
TIERCE
2,4,8 23,021
TRIO
2,4,8 3,926
FIRST 4
2,4,8,12 13,020
QUARTET
2,4,8,12 302,205
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
9/2 238.5
9/4 22.5