沙田 · 2021-06-20
第 10場
2021-06-20沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的MALDIVES勝出，贏出N。GOLDEN LINK獲得亞軍；SUPER WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門WAR WEAPON跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MALDIVES 後段發力 XB 1.21.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 11 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 11 | GOLDEN LINK 後段發力 T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 6 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER WINNER TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 2 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER TEN CP/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 13 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | WAR WEAPON 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LIFELINE VISION 後段發力 N Callan · D A Hayes | N Callan | D A Hayes | 3 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 8 | 140.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | MEANINGFUL STAR 後段發力 B K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CHEVALIER PRINCE V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | APACHE PASS C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 100.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 56.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | BABY 早段領放 B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 157.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 1 | HEZA BEAUTY E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER WINNER | 41.5% | 2.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | SUPER TEN | 17.2% | 5.81 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | WAR WEAPON | 9.6% | 10.37 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | MALDIVES | 8.9% | 11.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN LINK | 4.0% | 24.90 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | HEZA BEAUTY | 3.9% | 25.50 | 14 |
| 7 | 9 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 2.7% | 36.82 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | LIFELINE VISION | 2.7% | 37.65 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 2.4% | 42.31 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.3% | 43.97 | 10 |
| 11 | 14 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 2.1% | 48.46 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | BABY | 1.0% | 96.14 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | APACHE PASS | 0.9% | 116.38 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | GREAT TREASURE | 0.8% | 125.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 62.5
PLACE
4 20.5
8 19
11 34.5
QUINELLA
8,11 361.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 56.5
4,11 108
8,11 127.5
FORECAST
8,11 882
TIERCE
8,11,4 3,686
TRIO
4,8,11 564
FIRST 4
4,7,8,11 693
QUARTET
8,11,4,7 19,310
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/4,8,11 19,736
9TH DOUBLE
5/8 547
5/11 278
SIX UP
1/7/5/2/5/8 188,141
1,8/3,7/2,5/2,4/2,5/8,11 3,536
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/5/8 1,368
2/5/11 506