沙田 · 2021-06-20
第 2場
2021-06-20沙田第2場，Class 4，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的SWOT TROOPERS WIND勝出，贏出1-1/2。TAILOR MADE獲得亞軍；KUNGFUMASTER PANDA獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.0倍大熱門NUREMBERG跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND 一路領先 B 2.03.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 8.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | EZRA B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | MAGNETISM B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 3 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | PLAY WISE 後段發力 B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | STRONG ALLIANCE B T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 4 | 129.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | BULLISH GLORY 後段發力 CP/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 8.6 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | NUREMBERG B/H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 9 | 3.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 11 | 16.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | DAILY CHARM B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 12 | 71.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NUREMBERG | 24.1% | 4.15 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 13.9% | 7.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | TAILOR MADE | 12.9% | 7.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | EZRA | 10.4% | 9.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 7.4% | 13.48 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | PLAY WISE | 6.9% | 14.59 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | BULLISH GLORY | 6.4% | 15.72 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | MAGNETISM | 5.6% | 17.83 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | MCMUNIGAL | 4.9% | 20.21 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 3.4% | 29.01 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | DAILY CHARM | 3.1% | 31.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | STRONG ALLIANCE | 1.0% | 101.41 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 47
PLACE
4 22
5 16.5
11 32
QUINELLA
5,11 190.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 66
4,11 111
5,11 72.5
FORECAST
5,11 439
TIERCE
5,11,4 2,676
TRIO
4,5,11 486
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 1,626
QUARTET
5,11,4,3 35,628
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
11/5 1,233.5
11/11 125.5
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A2 —
A1 —