Sha Tin · 2021-06-20
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SWOT TROOPERS WIND, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/2, with TAILOR MADE second and KUNGFUMASTER PANDA third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite NUREMBERG finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Wire to wire B 2.03.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 8.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | EZRA B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | MAGNETISM B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 3 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | STRONG ALLIANCE B T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 4 | 129.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly CP/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 8.6 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | NUREMBERG B/H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 9 | 3.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 11 | 16.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | DAILY CHARM B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 12 | 71.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NUREMBERG | 24.1% | 4.15 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 13.9% | 7.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | TAILOR MADE | 12.9% | 7.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | EZRA | 10.4% | 9.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 7.4% | 13.48 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | PLAY WISE | 6.9% | 14.59 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | BULLISH GLORY | 6.4% | 15.72 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | MAGNETISM | 5.6% | 17.83 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | MCMUNIGAL | 4.9% | 20.21 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 3.4% | 29.01 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | DAILY CHARM | 3.1% | 31.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | STRONG ALLIANCE | 1.0% | 101.41 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 47
PLACE
4 22
5 16.5
11 32
QUINELLA
5,11 190.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 66
4,11 111
5,11 72.5
FORECAST
5,11 439
TIERCE
5,11,4 2,676
TRIO
4,5,11 486
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 1,626
QUARTET
5,11,4,3 35,628
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/5 1,233.5
11/11 125.5
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A2 —
A1 —