Sha Tin · 2021-06-20
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE Wire to wire B/TT 1.20.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 14 | 7.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 4.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | E STAR Closed strongly H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 2 | 6.7 | N |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO Closed strongly B-/CP2 C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 13 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | CONGRATULATION Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING METHOD TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER OASIS A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 7 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ASSIMILATE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE CROWN Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 12 | 9.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 1 | 45.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 73.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GREEN LASER T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 8 | 106.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SUNNY BOY B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 51.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SEA OF LIFE K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HINCHINLOVE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with LUCKY EXPRESS second and E STAR third. The winner led throughout. The 4.6 favourite LUCKY EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 21.3% | 4.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE | 20.7% | 4.84 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 13.1% | 7.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 9.1% | 11.02 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | E STAR | 5.9% | 16.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | THE CROWN | 5.8% | 17.38 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 4.8% | 20.72 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | SUNNY BOY | 4.8% | 21.03 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 3.4% | 29.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CONGRATULATION | 3.2% | 30.81 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 3.2% | 31.20 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 2.0% | 48.99 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | ASSIMILATE | 1.4% | 69.83 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | GREEN LASER | 1.2% | 81.99 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 75.5
PLACE
2 18.5
5 27.5
8 19.5
QUINELLA
2,5 208
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 78.5
2,8 55.5
5,8 68
FORECAST
5,2 517
TIERCE
5,2,8 1,829
TRIO
2,5,8 216
FIRST 4
2,5,8,9 278
QUARTET
5,2,8,9 8,549
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
2/2 10.5
2/5 163