Sha Tin · 2021-06-20
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.46.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM V H W Lai · F C Lor | H W Lai | F C Lor | 4 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY FUN Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 3 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 8.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 33.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TSAR Closed strongly H M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TIME WARP Led early CP1/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 8 | 32.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SOUTHERN LEGEND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with RELIABLE TEAM second and FAST MOST FURIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite COLUMBUS COUNTY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 30.4% | 3.29 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY FUN | 19.7% | 5.07 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 17.9% | 5.58 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | TSAR | 8.0% | 12.57 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 6.5% | 15.27 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 6.1% | 16.35 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 4.5% | 22.37 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM | 4.1% | 24.68 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 1.7% | 57.58 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | TIME WARP | 1.1% | 91.30 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 46.5
PLACE
1 16
4 27
8 50
QUINELLA
1,8 484
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 72.5
1,8 145.5
4,8 285
FORECAST
1,8 840
TIERCE
1,8,4 5,802
TRIO
1,4,8 1,392
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 939
QUARTET
1,8,4,2 25,047
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 1,018
7/8 664.5
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B4 —
B2 —
B1 18