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Sha Tin · 2021-06-20

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 OSCAR GLORY Closed strongly CP 1.34.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor 5 3.7 SH
2 0 CHARGE ON Closed strongly B K C Leung · D J Hall 10 7.6 SH
3 0 SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting 7 18.0 N
4 0 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly V K Teetan · P F Yiu 2 4.6 3/4
5 0 NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung 9 11.0 3/4
6 0 BIG TWO H/XB A Badel · D J Whyte 11 9.4 3-1/4
7 0 BRAVE KING Closed strongly TT T Piccone · A S Cruz 3 12.0 3-1/2
8 0 EVER LAUGH Led early B2/TT H Bentley · K L Man 6 33.0 3-1/2
9 0 WISDOM PATCH TT R Maia · P O'Sullivan 14 93.0 4
10 0 STAY CHILL CP C Y Ho · W Y So 1 55.0 5-1/4
11 0 EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 8 6.4 5-1/4
12 0 PRIME STAR B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard 13 98.0 5-3/4
13 0 DECISIVE ACTION CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 12 24.0 6
14 0 AMAZING BOY TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 4 91.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. OSCAR GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with CHARGE ON second and SUPER ELEGANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. OSCAR GLORY—2. CHARGE ON+0.1L3. SUPER ELEGANCE+0.05L4. ROBOT WARRIOR+0.75L5. NEW FUTURE+0.75L6. BIG TWO+3.25L7. BRAVE KING+3.5L8. EVER LAUGH+3.5L9. WISDOM PATCH+4L10. STAY CHILL+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick OSCAR GLORY (22.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 OSCAR GLORY 22.7% 4.41 1
2 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 22.5% 4.44 4
3 0 EL JEFE 13.6% 7.34 11
4 0 BIG TWO 9.7% 10.35 6
5 0 CHARGE ON 5.9% 16.93 2
6 0 NEW FUTURE 5.0% 19.98 5
7 0 SUPER ELEGANCE 3.8% 26.25 3
8 0 EVER LAUGH 3.6% 28.14 8
9 0 DECISIVE ACTION 3.4% 29.58 13
10 0 BRAVE KING 2.9% 35.01 7
11 0 STAY CHILL 2.3% 43.75 10
12 0 AMAZING BOY 2.1% 46.84 14
13 0 WISDOM PATCH 1.7% 59.10 9
14 0 PRIME STAR 0.8% 118.28 12
OSCAR GLORY — wonROBOT WARRIOREL JEFEBIG TWOCHARGE ONNEW FUTURESUPER ELEGANCEEVER LAUGHDECISIVE ACTIONBRAVE KINGSTAY CHILLAMAZING BOYWISDOM PATCHPRIME STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 37

PLACE

3 23

5 55.5

7 16.5

QUINELLA

3,7 114.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 218

3,7 48

5,7 135.5

FORECAST

7,3 226

TIERCE

7,3,5 3,431

TRIO

3,5,7 837

FIRST 4

3,5,7,8 1,053

QUARTET

7,3,5,8 18,173

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 23.5

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

1/3 77

1/7 237

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,7,11/1,4,8/Any Combination 92,684