Sha Tin · 2021-06-20
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. OSCAR GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with CHARGE ON second and SUPER ELEGANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | OSCAR GLORY Closed strongly CP 1.34.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 3.7 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 10 | 7.6 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 7 | 18.0 | N |
| 4 | 8 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly V K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 9 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | BIG TWO H/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | EVER LAUGH Led early B2/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 6 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | WISDOM PATCH TT R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 93.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | STAY CHILL CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 6.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | PRIME STAR B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 13 | 98.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | DECISIVE ACTION CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | AMAZING BOY TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 91.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | OSCAR GLORY | 22.7% | 4.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 22.5% | 4.44 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | EL JEFE | 13.6% | 7.34 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | BIG TWO | 9.7% | 10.35 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | CHARGE ON | 5.9% | 16.93 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | NEW FUTURE | 5.0% | 19.98 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 3.8% | 26.25 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | EVER LAUGH | 3.6% | 28.14 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | DECISIVE ACTION | 3.4% | 29.58 | 13 |
| 10 | 9 | BRAVE KING | 2.9% | 35.01 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | STAY CHILL | 2.3% | 43.75 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | AMAZING BOY | 2.1% | 46.84 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | WISDOM PATCH | 1.7% | 59.10 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | PRIME STAR | 0.8% | 118.28 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 37
PLACE
3 23
5 55.5
7 16.5
QUINELLA
3,7 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 218
3,7 48
5,7 135.5
FORECAST
7,3 226
TIERCE
7,3,5 3,431
TRIO
3,5,7 837
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 1,053
QUARTET
7,3,5,8 18,173
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 23.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 77
1/7 237
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,11/1,4,8/Any Combination 92,684