Sha Tin · 2021-06-20
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KILLER BEE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with DUBLIN STAR second and ELIGERE third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KILLER BEE H/TT 1.08.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 1.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 4 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | ELIGERE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 36.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 170.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 1 | 103.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | ELON E/P C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 8 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TORNADO TWIST B/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | VILLA FIONN B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 125.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 84.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | TIANCHI MONSTER A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 14 | 112.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | HURRY HURRY GAIN Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 7.3 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | OUR CLASS ACT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 323.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KILLER BEE | 50.2% | 1.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 13.4% | 7.47 | 13 |
| 3 | 4 | DUBLIN STAR | 9.5% | 10.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MIG ENERGY | 5.1% | 19.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | ELIGERE | 4.8% | 20.86 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | ELON | 3.9% | 25.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 3.5% | 28.40 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 2.7% | 36.81 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | TORNADO TWIST | 2.0% | 49.21 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.0% | 50.34 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | VILLA FIONN | 1.1% | 90.06 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE | 1.0% | 98.58 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 0.5% | 190.69 | 5 |
| 14 | 8 | OUR CLASS ACT | 0.3% | 325.93 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 16.5
PLACE
2 11.5
4 18.5
10 45
QUINELLA
2,4 55.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 25
2,10 75.5
4,10 144
FORECAST
2,4 64
TIERCE
2,4,10 524
TRIO
2,4,10 215
FIRST 4
2,4,6,10 607
QUARTET
2,4,10,6 4,153
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 147
5/4 123.5