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Sha Tin · 2021-06-20

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KILLER BEE H/TT 1.08.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 7 1.6 1-1/2
2 0 DUBLIN STAR B/TT K Teetan · K L Man 4 7.3 1-1/2
3 0 ELIGERE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui 12 36.0 2-1/4
4 0 MIG ENERGY XB/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 9 29.0 3
5 0 BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 10 170.0 3
6 0 MOMENTUM GALAXY B M Chadwick · K H Ting 1 103.0 3-1/2
7 0 ELON E/P C Schofield · J Size 8 16.0 4-1/4
8 0 TORNADO TWIST B/TT H Bentley · F C Lor 11 22.0 4-1/4
9 0 VILLA FIONN B C Wong · P F Yiu 5 125.0 4-3/4
10 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 3 8.2 5-1/4
11 0 ROYAL PRIDE B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 2 84.0 5-1/2
12 0 TIANCHI MONSTER A Hamelin · W Y So 14 112.0 6-1/4
13 0 HURRY HURRY GAIN Z Purton · F C Lor 6 7.3 8-1/4
14 0 OUR CLASS ACT H W Lai · Y S Tsui 13 323.0 17

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KILLER BEE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with DUBLIN STAR second and ELIGERE third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KILLER BEE—2. DUBLIN STAR+1.5L3. ELIGERE+2.25L4. MIG ENERGY+3L5. BEAUTY AMIGO+3L6. MOMENTUM GALAXY+3.5L7. ELON+4.25L8. TORNADO TWIST+4.25L9. VILLA FIONN+4.75L10. BEAUTY SPIRIT+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick KILLER BEE (50.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 KILLER BEE 50.2% 1.99 1
2 0 HURRY HURRY GAIN 13.4% 7.47 13
3 0 DUBLIN STAR 9.5% 10.54 2
4 0 MIG ENERGY 5.1% 19.69 4
5 0 ELIGERE 4.8% 20.86 3
6 0 ELON 3.9% 25.90 7
7 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT 3.5% 28.40 10
8 0 MOMENTUM GALAXY 2.7% 36.81 6
9 0 TORNADO TWIST 2.0% 49.21 8
10 0 TIANCHI MONSTER 2.0% 50.34 12
11 0 VILLA FIONN 1.1% 90.06 9
12 0 ROYAL PRIDE 1.0% 98.58 11
13 0 BEAUTY AMIGO 0.5% 190.69 5
14 0 OUR CLASS ACT 0.3% 325.93 14
KILLER BEE — wonHURRY HURRY GAINDUBLIN STARMIG ENERGYELIGEREELONBEAUTY SPIRITMOMENTUM GALAXYTORNADO TWISTTIANCHI MONSTERVILLA FIONNROYAL PRIDEBEAUTY AMIGOOUR CLASS ACT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 16.5

PLACE

2 11.5

4 18.5

10 45

QUINELLA

2,4 55.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 25

2,10 75.5

4,10 144

FORECAST

2,4 64

TIERCE

2,4,10 524

TRIO

2,4,10 215

FIRST 4

2,4,6,10 607

QUARTET

2,4,10,6 4,153

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 16.5

7TH DOUBLE

5/2 147

5/4 123.5