Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-06-20

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.55
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SKY FIELD Closed strongly TT 1.20.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C Fownes 7 9.4 1-3/4
2 0 SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 3.0 1-3/4
3 0 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT K Teetan · J Size 1 10.0 2
4 0 LUCKY PATCH B/H M F Poon · K W Lui 11 4.9 2-1/2
5 0 RATTAN Closed strongly B- C Schofield · R Gibson 3 24.0 2-3/4
6 0 BUDDIES H/TT- Z Purton · A S Cruz 10 18.0 3-1/2
7 0 MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B N Callan · P F Yiu 6 14.0 4-3/4
8 0 VOYAGE WARRIOR Led early H Bentley · P F Yiu 9 59.0 7-1/4
9 0 NOT USUAL TALENT TT M Chadwick · T P Yung 8 9.6 8
10 0 JOLLY BANNER B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 4 52.0 11-1/4
11 0 HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 5 6.0 53

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SKY FIELD, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with SKY DARCI second and CHAMPION'S WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SKY DARCI finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SKY FIELD—2. SKY DARCI+1.75L3. CHAMPION'S WAY+2L4. LUCKY PATCH+2.5L5. RATTAN+2.75L6. BUDDIES+3.5L7. MIGHTY GIANT+4.75L8. VOYAGE WARRIOR+7.25L9. NOT USUAL TALENT+8L10. JOLLY BANNER+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SKY DARCI (29.9%) finished 2nd — the winner SKY FIELD was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SKY DARCI 29.9% 3.34 2
2 0 LUCKY PATCH 16.4% 6.08 4
3 0 HEALTHY HAPPY 15.2% 6.57 11
4 0 BUDDIES 9.4% 10.68 6
5 0 SKY FIELD 8.0% 12.43 1
6 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 4.9% 20.53 3
7 0 NOT USUAL TALENT 4.3% 23.04 9
8 0 MIGHTY GIANT 4.3% 23.14 7
9 0 RATTAN 3.3% 29.99 5
10 0 JOLLY BANNER 2.3% 43.49 10
11 0 VOYAGE WARRIOR 1.9% 53.85 8
SKY DARCILUCKY PATCHHEALTHY HAPPYBUDDIESSKY FIELD — wonCHAMPION'S WAYNOT USUAL TALENTMIGHTY GIANTRATTANJOLLY BANNERVOYAGE WARRIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 94

PLACE

2 15

3 21

5 30

QUINELLA

2,5 183.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 71.5

2,5 61.5

3,5 132

FORECAST

5,2 328

TIERCE

5,2,3 2,807

TRIO

2,3,5 439

FIRST 4

2,3,5,11 526

QUARTET

5,2,3,11 17,294

All pools (4 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,7/2,3,5 45,375

3 PICK 1

A2 24.5

A3 —

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

7/2 22.5

7/5 358.5

WINNING TRAINER

B2 23

B1 —

B3 —