Sha Tin · 2021-06-20
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SKY FIELD, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with SKY DARCI second and CHAMPION'S WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SKY DARCI finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SKY FIELD Closed strongly TT 1.20.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | LUCKY PATCH B/H M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 11 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | RATTAN Closed strongly B- C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 3 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | BUDDIES H/TT- Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 6 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR Led early H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 59.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | NOT USUAL TALENT TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 8 | 9.6 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | JOLLY BANNER B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 52.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 6.0 | 53 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SKY DARCI | 29.9% | 3.34 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | LUCKY PATCH | 16.4% | 6.08 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 15.2% | 6.57 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | BUDDIES | 9.4% | 10.68 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | SKY FIELD | 8.0% | 12.43 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 4.9% | 20.53 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 4.3% | 23.04 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | MIGHTY GIANT | 4.3% | 23.14 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | RATTAN | 3.3% | 29.99 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | JOLLY BANNER | 2.3% | 43.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 1.9% | 53.85 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 94
PLACE
2 15
3 21
5 30
QUINELLA
2,5 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 71.5
2,5 61.5
3,5 132
FORECAST
5,2 328
TIERCE
5,2,3 2,807
TRIO
2,3,5 439
FIRST 4
2,3,5,11 526
QUARTET
5,2,3,11 17,294
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/2,3,5 45,375
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 22.5
7/5 358.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 23
B1 —
B3 —