Sha Tin · 2021-06-20
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY 0.55.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING DRAGON N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 4 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SPICY SO GOOD V-/B2/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 13 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SEA ELITE H/SR1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 11 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LORIZ A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | NEXTMODEL TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 5.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | VIVA CHEF B M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 2 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 83.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | PEGASUS GLORY B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FARM BUMPER B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 83.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | INGENIOUS FELLOW B1/TT1 T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 85.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON CP/H K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SHADOW RUNNER B/TT1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 19.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LUCKY QUALITY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with FLYING DRAGON second and SPICY SO GOOD third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 18.3% | 5.47 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SEA ELITE | 12.9% | 7.77 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | NEXTMODEL | 10.2% | 9.80 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 9.7% | 10.34 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | PEGASUS GLORY | 7.5% | 13.32 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 7.5% | 13.39 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | LORIZ | 7.3% | 13.79 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FLYING DRAGON | 5.9% | 16.86 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | VIVA CHEF | 4.5% | 22.30 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SHADOW RUNNER | 4.0% | 24.89 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 3.9% | 25.62 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | FARM BUMPER | 3.1% | 32.13 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | SPICY SO GOOD | 2.9% | 34.44 | 3 |
| 14 | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 2.4% | 41.48 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 34.5
PLACE
2 16
7 75.5
8 25.5
QUINELLA
2,8 156
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 175
2,8 62
7,8 354.5
FORECAST
2,8 356
TIERCE
2,8,7 4,696
TRIO
2,7,8 1,143
FIRST 4
2,7,8,12 2,143
QUARTET
2,8,7,12 36,702
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/2 252.5
5/8 79.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 20.5
A3 —