Sha Tin · 2021-06-20
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MARADO 1.09.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 9.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ZACIAN B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GLUCK RACER B1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 3.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MOST WELCOME BO A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 13 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY CP1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 9.7 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | DRAGON BABY TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA H-/B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING PHOTOS H H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 72.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WHO LOVES THE ACE TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 14 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | MAN UP XB1/TT1 C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 7 | 35.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | VICTORY MORE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 80.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | IRON KING H-/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 9.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | THE JOLLY XB1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 14.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MARADO, ridden by R Maia and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with ALL BEAUTY second and ZACIAN third. The 3.3 favourite GLUCK RACER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 26.3% | 3.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GLUCK RACER | 17.4% | 5.75 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON BABY | 12.8% | 7.84 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | THE JOLLY | 7.9% | 12.62 | 14 |
| 5 | 0 | ZACIAN | 5.6% | 17.73 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | MAN UP | 5.4% | 18.36 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 5.4% | 18.60 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | MARADO | 3.7% | 26.82 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | WHO LOVES THE ACE | 3.6% | 27.89 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | IRON KING | 3.4% | 29.61 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 3.1% | 32.43 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | MOST WELCOME | 2.8% | 35.76 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | FLYING PHOTOS | 1.5% | 67.12 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | VICTORY MORE | 1.1% | 87.20 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 206.5
PLACE
4 28.5
7 50.5
11 30.5
QUINELLA
4,7 901
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 261
4,11 128.5
7,11 188
FORECAST
7,4 1,768
TIERCE
7,4,11 13,400
TRIO
4,7,11 1,453
FIRST 4
3,4,7,11 930
QUARTET
7,4,11,3 37,789
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,8/4,7,11 117,734
3 PICK 1
A3 22
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/4 50
2/7 738