沙田 · 2021-06-20
第 9場
2021-06-20沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、T P Yung訓練的HINCHINLOVE勝出，贏出SH。LUCKY EXPRESS獲得亞軍；E STAR獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.6倍大熱門LUCKY EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HINCHINLOVE 一路領先 B/TT 1.20.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 14 | 7.5 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY EXPRESS 後段發力 E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 4.6 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | E STAR 後段發力 H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 2 | 6.7 | N |
| 4 | 9 | MASTER MONTARO 後段發力 B-/CP2 C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 13 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | CONGRATULATION 後段發力 B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | WINNING METHOD TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER OASIS A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 7 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY SMILE B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | ASSIMILATE 後段發力 B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | THE CROWN 後段發力 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 12 | 9.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | AMAZING ONE PLUS XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 1 | 45.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | LOBO'S LEGEND M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 73.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | GREEN LASER T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 8 | 106.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | SUNNY BOY B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 51.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SEA OF LIFE K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 21.3% | 4.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY SMILE | 20.7% | 4.84 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | MASTER MONTARO | 13.1% | 7.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | HINCHINLOVE | 9.1% | 11.02 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | E STAR | 5.9% | 16.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | THE CROWN | 5.8% | 17.38 | 10 |
| 7 | 14 | WINNING METHOD | 4.8% | 20.72 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | SUNNY BOY | 4.8% | 21.03 | 14 |
| 9 | 4 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 3.4% | 29.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | CONGRATULATION | 3.2% | 30.81 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER OASIS | 3.2% | 31.20 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 2.0% | 48.99 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | ASSIMILATE | 1.4% | 69.83 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | GREEN LASER | 1.2% | 81.99 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 75.5
PLACE
2 18.5
5 27.5
8 19.5
QUINELLA
2,5 208
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 78.5
2,8 55.5
5,8 68
FORECAST
5,2 517
TIERCE
5,2,8 1,829
TRIO
2,5,8 216
FIRST 4
2,5,8,9 278
QUARTET
5,2,8,9 8,549
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A1 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
2/2 10.5
2/5 163