沙田 · 2021-06-26
第 2場
2021-06-26沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的BLAZE WARRIOR勝出，贏出3-1/4。SMART WONGCHOY獲得亞軍；TREASURE OF FIELD獲得季軍。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BLAZE WARRIOR TT 1.09.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 1.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY H/CP1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | TREASURE OF FIELD C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 2 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PEAK TO PEAK SR/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | NIMBLE NIMBUS K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | HERCULES B/XB/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 9 | 95.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GOLD GOLD BABY B1/XB1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 163.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | WAH MAY LUCK CP-/H/B1/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 11 | 124.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | TRONIC MIGHTY M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 4 | 24.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | BOYS PARTY XB1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 14 | 18.0 | 16 |
| 13 | 13 | ZELUS CP H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 12 | 197.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | ILLUSTRIOUS Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 82.0 | 27 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 33.8% | 2.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY | 21.0% | 4.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | PEAK TO PEAK | 10.6% | 9.42 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | BOYS PARTY | 7.1% | 14.11 | 12 |
| 5 | 5 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 5.8% | 17.18 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 4.7% | 21.15 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 3.5% | 28.25 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | ILLUSTRIOUS | 3.5% | 28.70 | 14 |
| 9 | 7 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 3.5% | 28.84 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 2.3% | 43.48 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | GOOD BEAUTY | 2.2% | 45.05 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | WAH MAY LUCK | 0.9% | 105.79 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | HERCULES | 0.7% | 146.18 | 7 |
| 14 | 13 | ZELUS | 0.3% | 288.67 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 14.5
PLACE
1 11
9 82
12 13.5
QUINELLA
1,12 30
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 112
1,12 16.5
9,12 209
FORECAST
1,12 44
TIERCE
1,12,9 627
TRIO
1,9,12 287
FIRST 4
1,3,9,12 791
QUARTET
1,12,9,3 4,962
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
13/1 373.5
13/12 222.5
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —