沙田 · 2021-06-26
第 3場
2021-06-26沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的FOX CHEUNGER勝出，贏出1-1/4。BLAZING PARTNERS獲得亞軍；SUPER KIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門BLAZING PARTNERS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FOX CHEUNGER 後段發力 B/TT 1.23.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS 後段發力 B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER KIN 後段發力 TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 13 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE 後段發力 B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY HOUR 後段發力 E/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | THE FULL BLOOM V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 8.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | BIG BANG BONG 後段發力 B T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 11 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MANY GAINS CP K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | KELMIMI WINS 早段領放 B-/SR1/XB1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | WINNING STRIKES B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | SPEEDY DRAGON B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | DASHING GRACE 後段發力 V/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 14 | 132.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 18.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 22.5% | 4.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 14.9% | 6.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | NOBLE MAN | 8.1% | 12.30 | 14 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER KIN | 7.7% | 12.96 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY HOUR | 7.2% | 13.81 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | FOX CHEUNGER | 7.0% | 14.26 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 7.0% | 14.32 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | THE FULL BLOOM | 5.8% | 17.35 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | KELMIMI WINS | 4.3% | 23.13 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | WINNING STRIKES | 3.8% | 26.60 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | BIG BANG BONG | 3.0% | 32.87 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | MANY GAINS | 2.6% | 38.32 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | DASHING GRACE | 1.4% | 71.53 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 137.5
PLACE
3 32
10 44
13 14
QUINELLA
10,13 240
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 209
3,13 66
10,13 76
FORECAST
10,13 728
TIERCE
10,13,3 5,153
TRIO
3,10,13 916
FIRST 4
1,3,10,13 867
QUARTET
10,13,3,1 32,291
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
1/10 277.5
1/13 15.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23.5
A2 —