Sha Tin · 2021-06-26
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-26 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. FOX CHEUNGER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with BLAZING PARTNERS second and SUPER KIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite BLAZING PARTNERS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FOX CHEUNGER Closed strongly B/TT 1.23.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER KIN Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 13 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE Closed strongly B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY HOUR Closed strongly E/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | THE FULL BLOOM V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 8.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly B T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 11 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MANY GAINS CP K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | KELMIMI WINS Led early B-/SR1/XB1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | WINNING STRIKES B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | SPEEDY DRAGON B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | DASHING GRACE Closed strongly V/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 14 | 132.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 18.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 22.5% | 4.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 14.9% | 6.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | NOBLE MAN | 8.1% | 12.30 | 14 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER KIN | 7.7% | 12.96 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY HOUR | 7.2% | 13.81 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | FOX CHEUNGER | 7.0% | 14.26 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 7.0% | 14.32 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | THE FULL BLOOM | 5.8% | 17.35 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | KELMIMI WINS | 4.3% | 23.13 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | WINNING STRIKES | 3.8% | 26.60 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | BIG BANG BONG | 3.0% | 32.87 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | MANY GAINS | 2.6% | 38.32 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | DASHING GRACE | 1.4% | 71.53 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 137.5
PLACE
3 32
10 44
13 14
QUINELLA
10,13 240
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 209
3,13 66
10,13 76
FORECAST
10,13 728
TIERCE
10,13,3 5,153
TRIO
3,10,13 916
FIRST 4
1,3,10,13 867
QUARTET
10,13,3,1 32,291
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/10 277.5
1/13 15.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23.5
A2 —