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Sha Tin · 2021-06-26

Race 7

Class 3 WET SLOW 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.37.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TRUE LEGEND Closed strongly B 1.37.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor 5 13.0 1/2
2 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 11 6.8 1/2
3 0 SPLENDID LIVING N Callan · P F Yiu 1 94.0 5
4 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB- T Piccone · C W Chang 3 13.0 6-1/4
5 0 TANGMERE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 10 120.0 6-3/4
6 0 GOLD COMET B J Moreira · A T Millard 9 2.0 7-1/2
7 0 SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui 2 13.0 9-1/4
8 0 STAR PERFORMANCE CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 7 21.0 10-3/4
9 0 ELON E/P A Badel · J Size 6 23.0 11-1/4
10 0 GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly C Wong · Y S Tsui 14 104.0 11-1/4
11 0 PAKISTAN FRIEND TT K C Leung · W Y So 8 52.0 12-3/4
12 0 UNITE SPIRIT B/XB M Chadwick · D E Ferraris 4 14.0 13
13 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG B- C L Chau · K L Man 12 8.3 17-1/2
14 0 CLEAR CHOICE B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 13 62.0 26

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. TRUE LEGEND, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with SO WE JOY second and SPLENDID LIVING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite GOLD COMET finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TRUE LEGEND—2. SO WE JOY+0.5L3. SPLENDID LIVING+5L4. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE+6.25L5. TANGMERE+6.75L6. GOLD COMET+7.5L7. SKYEY SUPREME+9.25L8. STAR PERFORMANCE+10.75L9. ELON+11.25L10. GREAT TREASURE+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GOLD COMET (39.7%) finished 6th — the winner TRUE LEGEND was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLD COMET 39.7% 2.52 6
2 0 SO WE JOY 8.9% 11.29 2
3 0 TRUE LEGEND 7.7% 13.04 1
4 0 STAR PERFORMANCE 7.0% 14.23 8
5 0 UNITE SPIRIT 6.9% 14.42 12
6 0 CLEAR CHOICE 5.4% 18.41 14
7 0 ELON 5.3% 18.98 9
8 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG 3.9% 25.79 13
9 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 3.3% 29.91 4
10 0 SPLENDID LIVING 3.1% 32.62 3
11 0 PAKISTAN FRIEND 2.8% 36.20 11
12 0 SKYEY SUPREME 2.3% 42.90 7
13 0 TANGMERE 2.0% 49.87 5
14 0 GREAT TREASURE 1.7% 59.18 10
GOLD COMETSO WE JOYTRUE LEGEND — wonSTAR PERFORMANCEUNITE SPIRITCLEAR CHOICEELONSTAR OF YUEN LONGRIGHTEOUS DOCTRINESPLENDID LIVINGPAKISTAN FRIENDSKYEY SUPREMETANGMEREGREAT TREASURE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 131

PLACE

3 21

4 145

12 34.5

QUINELLA

3,12 386

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 593.5

3,12 115

4,12 663.5

FORECAST

12,3 1,282

TIERCE

12,3,4 31,234

TRIO

3,4,12 4,493

FIRST 4

2,3,4,12 14,627

QUARTET

12,3,4,2 438,597

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,13/3,4,12 1,367,924

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 22.5

A2 —

6TH DOUBLE

2/3 74.5

2/12 1,009