Sha Tin · 2021-06-26
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. TRUE LEGEND, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with SO WE JOY second and SPLENDID LIVING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite GOLD COMET finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TRUE LEGEND Closed strongly B 1.37.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | SPLENDID LIVING N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 1 | 94.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB- T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 3 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | TANGMERE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 120.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLD COMET B J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 9 | 2.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | STAR PERFORMANCE CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 21.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ELON E/P A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 23.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 14 | 104.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 52.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | UNITE SPIRIT B/XB M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 4 | 14.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B- C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 8.3 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 13 | 62.0 | 26 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOLD COMET | 39.7% | 2.52 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | SO WE JOY | 8.9% | 11.29 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | TRUE LEGEND | 7.7% | 13.04 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 7.0% | 14.23 | 8 |
| 5 | 14 | UNITE SPIRIT | 6.9% | 14.42 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | CLEAR CHOICE | 5.4% | 18.41 | 14 |
| 7 | 9 | ELON | 5.3% | 18.98 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 3.9% | 25.79 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 3.3% | 29.91 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | SPLENDID LIVING | 3.1% | 32.62 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.8% | 36.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | SKYEY SUPREME | 2.3% | 42.90 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | TANGMERE | 2.0% | 49.87 | 5 |
| 14 | 10 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.7% | 59.18 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 131
PLACE
3 21
4 145
12 34.5
QUINELLA
3,12 386
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 593.5
3,12 115
4,12 663.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,282
TIERCE
12,3,4 31,234
TRIO
3,4,12 4,493
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 14,627
QUARTET
12,3,4,2 438,597
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,13/3,4,12 1,367,924
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 74.5
2/12 1,009