Sha Tin · 2021-06-26
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-26 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. VICTORY SCHOLARS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with BRILLIANT CHINA second and PURE LEGEND third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS Wire to wire CP 1.22.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 3.9 | N |
| 2 | 13 | BRILLIANT CHINA Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 1 | 5.5 | N |
| 3 | 3 | PURE LEGEND V A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 9.7 | N |
| 4 | 1 | DRAGON FORTUNE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 6.7 | N |
| 5 | 10 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 13 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly B-/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | EASY FORTUNE Closed strongly CP1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 72.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 5.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | CASA KINGDOM Closed strongly B-/XB K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 14 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 72.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | LEGEND GOES B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 74.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | CORDYCEPS KING CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | TOP SCORE B/TT H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 9 | 79.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 19.9% | 5.03 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 17.0% | 5.89 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | PURE LEGEND | 15.8% | 6.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 13.9% | 7.19 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 10.8% | 9.26 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | CORDYCEPS KING | 4.9% | 20.20 | 13 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPERB DADDY | 3.9% | 25.93 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 3.8% | 26.46 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | CASA KINGDOM | 3.7% | 26.67 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 2.8% | 35.94 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 1.3% | 76.96 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | LEGEND GOES | 1.0% | 98.44 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | TOP SCORE | 0.7% | 146.12 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | EASY FORTUNE | 0.5% | 200.06 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 39
PLACE
2 14
3 28.5
13 20.5
QUINELLA
2,13 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 66
2,13 49
3,13 88
FORECAST
2,13 244
TIERCE
2,13,3 1,503
TRIO
2,3,13 353
FIRST 4
1,2,3,13 481
QUARTET
2,13,3,1 9,907
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 22.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
13/2 368
13/13 120.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,12,13/8,10,13/Any Combination 165,174