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Sha Tin · 2021-06-26

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course B 13 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-26 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HIGHLY PROACTIVE, ridden by H N Wong and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with SHINING ACE second and ALL IN MIND third. The 2.2 favourite TRILLION WIN finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.08.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT 1.08.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H N Wong · K W Lui 6 12.0 SH
2 4 SHINING ACE B/TT J Moreira · J Size 2 7.3 SH
3 14 ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 10 11.0 1/2
4 7 WIND N GRASS TT B Shinn · J Size 5 33.0 3/4
5 11 TRILLION WIN CP A Badel · K L Man 4 2.2 1-1/4
6 8 VICTORIAM M F Poon · K W Lui 7 15.0 1-1/4
7 5 MR CROISSANT CP T Piccone · W Y So 13 12.0 3-3/4
8 1 HONG KONG WIN B C Schofield · J Size 9 29.0 5-1/2
9 12 FLYING GENIUS B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz 1 60.0 8-1/4
10 9 CONGRATULATION B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 11 19.0 8-1/2
11 2 MASSIVE POCKET XB K C Leung · K W Lui 3 56.0 9-1/2
12 6 ROMAN TURBO SR/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 8 6.5 10-1/4
13 13 YOUNG LEGEND H/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 12 76.0 10-1/2
3 NABOO ATTACK Z Purton · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HIGHLY PROACTIVE2. SHINING ACE+0.1L3. ALL IN MIND+0.5L4. WIND N GRASS+0.75L5. TRILLION WIN+1.25L6. VICTORIAM+1.25L7. MR CROISSANT+3.75L8. HONG KONG WIN+5.5L9. FLYING GENIUS+8.25L10. CONGRATULATION+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick TRILLION WIN (30.0%) finished 5th — the winner HIGHLY PROACTIVE was rated #13. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 TRILLION WIN 30.0% 3.33 5
2 6 ROMAN TURBO 15.8% 6.33 12
3 4 SHINING ACE 13.6% 7.38 2
4 14 ALL IN MIND 6.6% 15.15 3
5 1 HONG KONG WIN 5.7% 17.59 8
6 8 VICTORIAM 5.2% 19.11 6
7 5 MR CROISSANT 3.9% 25.58 7
8 9 CONGRATULATION 3.9% 25.92 10
9 13 YOUNG LEGEND 3.8% 26.20 13
10 7 WIND N GRASS 3.5% 28.29 4
11 2 MASSIVE POCKET 3.0% 33.11 11
12 12 FLYING GENIUS 2.8% 36.16 9
13 10 HIGHLY PROACTIVE 2.2% 45.06 1
TRILLION WINROMAN TURBOSHINING ACEALL IN MINDHONG KONG WINVICTORIAMMR CROISSANTCONGRATULATIONYOUNG LEGENDWIND N GRASSMASSIVE POCKETFLYING GENIUSHIGHLY PROACTIVE — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 122.5

PLACE

4 21

10 30.5

14 35

QUINELLA

4,10 581

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 144

4,14 109.5

10,14 183.5

FORECAST

10,4 1,113

TIERCE

10,4,14 11,334

TRIO

4,10,14 2,156

FIRST 4

4,7,10,14 8,765

QUARTET

10,4,14,7 153,180

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 29

A1

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,7,10/4,10,14 131,975

9TH DOUBLE

7/4 176.5

7/10 1,962

SIX UP

10,13/2,13/3,12/2,10/3,7/4,10 36,326

1 [J Moreira]

TREBLE

2/7/4 544

2/7/10 12,846