Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-06-26

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.54
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT 1.08.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · A S Cruz 5 14.0 N
2 0 WHEN YOU BELIEVE CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 1 8.1 N
3 0 DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size 4 1.8 1-1/4
4 0 KAI XIN DRAGON TT- C Wong · D A Hayes 11 51.0 4-3/4
5 0 TRUST ME H T Piccone · C H Yip 6 68.0 4-3/4
6 0 COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT A Badel · W Y So 13 6.9 5
7 0 WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man 3 13.0 6
8 0 PRESENCE H1 B Shinn · F C Lor 2 27.0 6-1/4
9 0 FANTASY B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting 14 140.0 6-1/2
10 0 STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte 9 16.0 7-3/4
11 0 ROCK YA HEART H N Wong · K W Lui 10 175.0 7-3/4
12 0 FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 90.0 9
13 0 MIGHTY VALOR M F Poon · P F Yiu 7 13.0 17-1/2
14 0 ROYAL BOMB K Teetan · C Fownes 12 58.0 17-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. IMA SINGLE MAN, ridden by N Callan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with WHEN YOU BELIEVE second and DROPS OF GOD third. The 1.8 favourite DROPS OF GOD finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. IMA SINGLE MAN—2. WHEN YOU BELIEVE+0.05L3. DROPS OF GOD+1.25L4. KAI XIN DRAGON+4.75L5. TRUST ME+4.75L6. COPARTNER AMBITION+5L7. WAR OF COURAGE+6L8. PRESENCE+6.25L9. FANTASY+6.5L10. STORM WARNINGS+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick DROPS OF GOD (36.7%) finished 3rd — the winner IMA SINGLE MAN was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DROPS OF GOD 36.7% 2.73 3
2 0 WHEN YOU BELIEVE 12.1% 8.28 2
3 0 COPARTNER AMBITION 11.9% 8.41 6
4 0 STORM WARNINGS 8.0% 12.49 10
5 0 WAR OF COURAGE 7.4% 13.46 7
6 0 MIGHTY VALOR 5.2% 19.33 13
7 0 ROYAL BOMB 4.7% 21.41 14
8 0 FANTASY 3.3% 30.77 9
9 0 IMA SINGLE MAN 3.2% 31.67 1
10 0 PRESENCE 2.2% 44.91 8
11 0 TRUST ME 1.9% 53.60 5
12 0 KAI XIN DRAGON 1.4% 73.59 4
13 0 FEARLESS FIRE 1.2% 81.61 12
14 0 ROCK YA HEART 1.0% 99.69 11
DROPS OF GODWHEN YOU BELIEVECOPARTNER AMBITIONSTORM WARNINGSWAR OF COURAGEMIGHTY VALORROYAL BOMBFANTASYIMA SINGLE MAN — wonPRESENCETRUST MEKAI XIN DRAGONFEARLESS FIREROCK YA HEART

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 143

PLACE

3 24

7 30.5

10 12.5

QUINELLA

3,7 711.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 172.5

3,10 35

7,10 53.5

FORECAST

7,3 1,477

TIERCE

7,3,10 4,596

TRIO

3,7,10 359

FIRST 4

3,7,10,13 2,803

QUARTET

7,3,10,13 121,647

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 16

8TH DOUBLE

2/3 95.5

2/7 351.5