沙田 · 2021-06-26
第 9場
2021-06-26沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由N Callan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的IMA SINGLE MAN勝出，贏出N。WHEN YOU BELIEVE獲得亞軍；DROPS OF GOD獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門DROPS OF GOD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT 1.08.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | WHEN YOU BELIEVE CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 8.1 | N |
| 3 | 10 | DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 1.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | KAI XIN DRAGON TT- C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 11 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | TRUST ME H T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 6 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 13 | 6.9 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | PRESENCE H1 B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 2 | 27.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FANTASY B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 14 | 140.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 16.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 10 | 175.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 90.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | MIGHTY VALOR M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 13.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | ROYAL BOMB K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 58.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DROPS OF GOD | 36.7% | 2.73 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | WHEN YOU BELIEVE | 12.1% | 8.28 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 11.9% | 8.41 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | STORM WARNINGS | 8.0% | 12.49 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | WAR OF COURAGE | 7.4% | 13.46 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | MIGHTY VALOR | 5.2% | 19.33 | 13 |
| 7 | 2 | ROYAL BOMB | 4.7% | 21.41 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | FANTASY | 3.3% | 30.77 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 3.2% | 31.67 | 1 |
| 10 | 1 | PRESENCE | 2.2% | 44.91 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | TRUST ME | 1.9% | 53.60 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 1.4% | 73.59 | 4 |
| 13 | 11 | FEARLESS FIRE | 1.2% | 81.61 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART | 1.0% | 99.69 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 143
PLACE
3 24
7 30.5
10 12.5
QUINELLA
3,7 711.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 172.5
3,10 35
7,10 53.5
FORECAST
7,3 1,477
TIERCE
7,3,10 4,596
TRIO
3,7,10 359
FIRST 4
3,7,10,13 2,803
QUARTET
7,3,10,13 121,647
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 95.5
2/7 351.5