沙田 · 2021-06-26
第 8場
2021-06-26沙田第8場,Class 3,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的BELUGA勝出,贏出3/4。LEAP OF FAITH獲得亞軍;HORSESAIN BOLT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BELUGA 後段發力 H 1.21.68 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | LEAP OF FAITH 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 4.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 V-/B2/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 6.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | XIANG YIN 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | CASIMIRO 後段發力 A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | YO BEAUTY 早段領放 CP/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 12 | 46.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | CHEERFUL DAYS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 9.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FANTASTIC SHOW 後段發力 B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | KASI FARASI T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 11 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 9 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 4 | OUR CREED M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 111.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | LINCOLN BRIGHT H/XB/TT H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 14 | 262.0 | 20-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BELUGA | 21.2% | 4.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 19.5% | 5.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | LEAP OF FAITH | 15.1% | 6.62 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 9.9% | 10.05 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | XIANG YIN | 7.6% | 13.19 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 6.3% | 15.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | KASI FARASI | 4.8% | 20.72 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 3.9% | 25.97 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | YO BEAUTY | 3.2% | 31.63 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.9% | 34.86 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | CASIMIRO | 2.4% | 42.02 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | WIN WIN | 2.4% | 42.35 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | OUR CREED | 0.5% | 213.37 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | LINCOLN BRIGHT | 0.4% | 242.96 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 38.5
PLACE
2 16
7 15.5
10 19
QUINELLA
2,10 126
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 34
2,10 49
7,10 46.5
FORECAST
2,10 224
TIERCE
2,10,7 457
TRIO
2,7,10 90
FIRST 4
1,2,7,10 146
QUARTET
2,10,7,1 2,151
全部彩池(另 2 項)
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
12/2 837.5
12/10 162