沙田 · 2021-06-26
第 1場
2021-06-26沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由M L Yeung策騎、K H Ting訓練的LUCKY VICTOR勝出，贏出2。RUBY STARS獲得亞軍；KA FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。5.6倍大熱門KA YING BRILLIANCE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LUCKY VICTOR 一路領先 B/TT 1.40.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | RUBY STARS 後段發力 TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | KA FORTUNE 後段發力 B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | GENERAL DINO 後段發力 B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 14 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | FIGURES TWO 後段發力 M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 12 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | KEEP WINNING 後段發力 P H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 11 | 33.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | KA YING BRILLIANCE B/XB Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 5.6 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | RUN DES RUN TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 2 | 5.6 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 11.0 | 15 |
| 11 | 4 | WINNING GENGHIS B-/H-/SR- C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 63.0 | 19 |
| 12 | 12 | VEGA RHYTHM B/H M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 13 | 11.0 | 29-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | AEROSONIC P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 32.0 | 59-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 7 | 75.0 | 71-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 18.2% | 5.50 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 16.3% | 6.13 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | RUN DES RUN | 15.3% | 6.55 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | AEROSONIC | 10.5% | 9.57 | 13 |
| 5 | 13 | LUCKY VICTOR | 7.1% | 14.14 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | KA FORTUNE | 6.5% | 15.45 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | VEGA RHYTHM | 5.4% | 18.36 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | GENERAL DINO | 5.1% | 19.63 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 4.2% | 24.01 | 14 |
| 10 | 3 | RUBY STARS | 3.4% | 29.64 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | GO BALLISTIC | 3.3% | 30.76 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | FIGURES TWO | 2.4% | 42.25 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | KEEP WINNING | 1.5% | 67.95 | 7 |
| 14 | 4 | WINNING GENGHIS | 1.0% | 95.25 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 223.5
PLACE
3 49.5
5 23
13 63.5
QUINELLA
3,13 1,316
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 205
3,13 347
5,13 256
FORECAST
13,3 1,412
TIERCE
13,3,5 28,919
TRIO
3,5,13 5,356
FIRST 4
1,3,5,13 6,247
QUARTET
13,3,5,1 158,931
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 17.5