沙田 · 2021-06-26
第 7場
2021-06-26沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的TRUE LEGEND勝出，贏出1/2。SO WE JOY獲得亞軍；SPLENDID LIVING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門GOLD COMET跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TRUE LEGEND 後段發力 B 1.37.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SO WE JOY 後段發力 TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | SPLENDID LIVING N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 1 | 94.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 XB- T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 3 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | TANGMERE 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 120.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLD COMET B J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 9 | 2.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | SKYEY SUPREME 早段領放 B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | STAR PERFORMANCE CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 21.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ELON E/P A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 23.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 14 | 104.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 52.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | UNITE SPIRIT B/XB M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 4 | 14.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B- C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 8.3 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 13 | 62.0 | 26 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOLD COMET | 39.7% | 2.52 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | SO WE JOY | 8.9% | 11.29 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | TRUE LEGEND | 7.7% | 13.04 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 7.0% | 14.23 | 8 |
| 5 | 14 | UNITE SPIRIT | 6.9% | 14.42 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | CLEAR CHOICE | 5.4% | 18.41 | 14 |
| 7 | 9 | ELON | 5.3% | 18.98 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 3.9% | 25.79 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 3.3% | 29.91 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | SPLENDID LIVING | 3.1% | 32.62 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.8% | 36.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | SKYEY SUPREME | 2.3% | 42.90 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | TANGMERE | 2.0% | 49.87 | 5 |
| 14 | 10 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.7% | 59.18 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 131
PLACE
3 21
4 145
12 34.5
QUINELLA
3,12 386
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 593.5
3,12 115
4,12 663.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,282
TIERCE
12,3,4 31,234
TRIO
3,4,12 4,493
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 14,627
QUARTET
12,3,4,2 438,597
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,13/3,4,12 1,367,924
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 74.5
2/12 1,009