沙田 · 2021-07-04
第 4場
2021-07-04沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由J Moreira策騎、C W Chang訓練的STEEL WIN勝出，贏出SH。EVERYONE'S VICTORY獲得亞軍；FOURAWARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STEEL WIN 1.09.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 11 | 2.8 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | FOURAWARRIOR Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 3 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | HOLYSHOWCASING H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 2 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | WHO LOVES THE ACE TT R Maia · C Fownes | R Maia | C Fownes | 9 | 53.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | DEAL MAKER H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 35.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | PANZERSCHRECK E/P1/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 4 | 68.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | CHIKORITA XB/TT2 T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 8 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HANDSOME REBEL | 18.5% | 5.42 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | STEEL WIN | 16.8% | 5.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME | 15.3% | 6.53 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 9.5% | 10.58 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | PANZERSCHRECK | 6.8% | 14.77 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | FOURAWARRIOR | 5.4% | 18.46 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 5.1% | 19.56 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | CHIKORITA | 5.0% | 19.93 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | DEAL MAKER | 5.0% | 20.05 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 4.3% | 23.42 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | WHO LOVES THE ACE | 4.2% | 23.80 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 4.2% | 23.85 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 28
PLACE
4 30.5
10 34
11 14
QUINELLA
10,11 135.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 162
4,11 70
10,11 56.5
FORECAST
11,10 305
TIERCE
11,10,4 1,853
TRIO
4,10,11 743
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 1,442
QUARTET
11,10,4,2 23,083
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/4,10,11 27,389
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/10 105
1/11 117