沙田 · 2021-07-04
第 3場
2021-07-04沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的BREEZE OF SPRING勝出，贏出1-1/4。FOX CHEUNGER獲得亞軍；GOLDEN FOUR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BREEZE OF SPRING 後段發力 TT 1.21.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | FOX CHEUNGER 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 P N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 13 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | THIS IS CHARISMA 後段發力 B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | ATHENA TT- T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 4 | 76.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | STAR OF RED B/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 1 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | OURGOLDENRULES 後段發力 B-/XB/SR1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | ANONYMA 早段領放 H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 7 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | GOLD 'N' BOLD V/TT1 V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 5 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | REGENCY POET B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 5.1 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | THE ELITES CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 145.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 10 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | ALL THE WAY 後段發力 B-/H1/TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 11 | 45.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | PRIME TIME H-/B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 92.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 26.6% | 3.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | FOX CHEUNGER | 22.7% | 4.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 12.9% | 7.73 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | OURGOLDENRULES | 8.1% | 12.33 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | REGENCY POET | 6.4% | 15.51 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN FOUR | 4.6% | 21.93 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 4.2% | 23.78 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | NOBLE MAN | 4.1% | 24.33 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | PRIME TIME | 2.3% | 43.44 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | ALL THE WAY | 2.1% | 48.27 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | ATHENA | 1.7% | 59.03 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | ANONYMA | 1.6% | 61.41 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | STAR OF RED | 1.6% | 64.35 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | THE ELITES | 1.1% | 89.77 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 29
PLACE
1 15
2 27
10 18
QUINELLA
1,10 61.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 57
1,10 31
2,10 98
FORECAST
1,10 154
TIERCE
1,10,2 563
TRIO
1,2,10 159
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 277
QUARTET
1,10,2,4 3,463
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
12/1 327
12/10 118.5
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A3 —
A2 —