沙田 · 2021-07-04
第 7場
2021-07-04沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的GALAXY EMPEROR勝出，贏出1-3/4。GOLDEN BOLT獲得亞軍；PURE LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.2倍大熱門ZONE D跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GALAXY EMPEROR 一路領先 B/H/TT 1.21.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | GOLDEN BOLT SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | PURE LEGEND 後段發力 V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | ZONE D 後段發力 H/P/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 1 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | ALEE KING PRAWN B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 135.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | LAPUTA 後段發力 TT1 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 12 | 155.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | WIN TECH 後段發力 V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 238.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | SAM'S LOVE TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 10 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | KUNG FU TEA 後段發力 B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 11 | 8.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 9.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | LOVE ME MORE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | FLYING VICTORY H/TT H W Lai · F C Lor | H W Lai | F C Lor | 6 | 9.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | EEVEE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 9.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE CP/XB T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 4 | 32.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | EEVEE | 18.4% | 5.44 | 13 |
| 2 | 4 | PURE LEGEND | 13.8% | 7.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 13.5% | 7.38 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | KUNG FU TEA | 12.5% | 7.99 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | ZONE D | 10.7% | 9.37 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | SAM'S LOVE | 8.6% | 11.64 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 6.8% | 14.62 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | LOVE ME MORE | 5.3% | 18.79 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDEN BOLT | 4.4% | 22.76 | 2 |
| 10 | 1 | FLYING VICTORY | 3.3% | 30.73 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | LAPUTA | 1.0% | 97.93 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | WIN TECH | 0.8% | 129.69 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 0.5% | 197.45 | 5 |
| 14 | 7 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE | 0.4% | 266.91 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 56.5
PLACE
4 22
9 20.5
10 45
QUINELLA
9,10 428.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 65
4,10 220.5
9,10 137
FORECAST
9,10 607
TIERCE
9,10,4 4,721
TRIO
4,9,10 1,002
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 616
QUARTET
9,10,4,3 16,248
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,13/4,9,10 46,236
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
13/9 800.5
13/10 336.5