沙田 · 2021-07-04
第 9場
2021-07-04沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的MISTER SNOWDON勝出，贏出1/2。CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT獲得亞軍；MASTER MONTARO獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.4倍大熱門MASTER MONTARO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MISTER SNOWDON 一路領先 SR 1.20.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 14 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT 後段發力 CP/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | MASTER MONTARO 後段發力 CP C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 8 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | WIND N GRASS 後段發力 TT R Maia · J Size | R Maia | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 10 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | E STAR 後段發力 H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 9 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER OASIS 後段發力 B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 13 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | THE CROWN 後段發力 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | ASSIMILATE 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 74.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | KASI FARASI C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WINNING METHOD TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 4.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE B V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 5 | 26.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | NORDIC SKY K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 36.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 103.0 | 21-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER MONTARO | 18.7% | 5.34 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | THE CROWN | 15.2% | 6.57 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | WINNING METHOD | 15.0% | 6.66 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | MISTER SNOWDON | 10.3% | 9.66 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | E STAR | 9.6% | 10.37 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | NORDIC SKY | 4.6% | 21.56 | 13 |
| 7 | 6 | WIND N GRASS | 4.2% | 23.56 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 4.2% | 23.70 | 2 |
| 9 | 14 | KASI FARASI | 4.1% | 24.56 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER OASIS | 3.7% | 27.21 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 3.4% | 29.31 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | GOLD CHEST | 3.0% | 33.20 | 5 |
| 13 | 1 | ASSIMILATE | 2.5% | 39.47 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.2% | 80.73 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 138
PLACE
3 37
5 15
12 49
QUINELLA
3,12 1,214.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 88
3,12 314.5
5,12 114.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,489
TIERCE
12,3,5 6,845
TRIO
3,5,12 939
FIRST 4
3,5,6,12 2,696
QUARTET
12,3,5,6 95,438
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23.5
8TH DOUBLE
6/3 194
6/12 1,979