沙田 · 2021-07-04
第 6場
2021-07-04沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由V Borges策騎、W Y So訓練的COPARTNER ERA勝出，贏出1-1/4。FREE FOAL獲得亞軍；ROBOT WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.7倍大熱門FREE FOAL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | COPARTNER ERA 後段發力 B 1.34.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | FREE FOAL Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 13 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ROBOT WARRIOR 後段發力 V-/B1 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SHANGHAI DRAGON 早段領放 B H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SEAWEED FORTUNE 後段發力 V/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 6 | 49.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | EL JEFE XB/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PEARL CHAMPION B2 T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 3 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WISDOM PATCH TT R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 174.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | BRAVE KING 後段發力 B2/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 14 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | FAST PACE H H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 1 | EVER LAUGH B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FLYING SWORD B/TT C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 65.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FREE FOAL | 18.9% | 5.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 14.7% | 6.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE | 13.4% | 7.46 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 8.1% | 12.34 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 7.1% | 14.10 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | EL JEFE | 6.9% | 14.47 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | COPARTNER ERA | 6.6% | 15.13 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | PEARL CHAMPION | 5.4% | 18.54 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | FAST PACE | 5.3% | 18.84 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | FLYING SWORD | 3.9% | 25.35 | 14 |
| 11 | 1 | EVER LAUGH | 3.6% | 27.82 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | SUPER HONG KONG | 2.4% | 41.37 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | BRAVE KING | 2.0% | 50.40 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | WISDOM PATCH | 1.6% | 63.97 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 139.5
PLACE
6 21
8 14
13 42.5
QUINELLA
8,13 191.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 42
6,13 143.5
8,13 74.5
FORECAST
13,8 625
TIERCE
13,8,6 3,567
TRIO
6,8,13 522
FIRST 4
6,8,9,13 1,308
QUARTET
13,8,6,9 38,899
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 25
A1 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/8 186.5
7/13 2,275.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,10,11/1,7,10/Any Combination 337,925