沙田 · 2021-11-28
第 3場
2021-11-28沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H Bentley策騎、F C Lor訓練的EVERYONE'S VICTORY勝出，贏出2-1/4。WHIZZ KID獲得亞軍；THUNDERSTRIKE獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門WHIZZ KID跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT 1.08.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | WHIZZ KID B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | THUNDERSTRIKE B/H C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | JADE THEATRE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B-/V1 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | UTOPIA LIFE B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 7 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | STEEL WIN C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 12 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | AMAZEMENT B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 35.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER B/TT1 A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 9 | 49.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 5 | 45.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | THIS IS GUTS B1/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.7 | 18-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | PACKING KINGDOM TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 9.9 | 56-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WHIZZ KID | 37.3% | 2.68 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | STEEL WIN | 10.6% | 9.39 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 9.1% | 10.97 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 8.6% | 11.58 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | AMAZEMENT | 6.3% | 15.88 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | PACKING KINGDOM | 6.1% | 16.28 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 5.4% | 18.37 | 1 |
| 8 | 1 | UTOPIA LIFE | 3.8% | 26.01 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | JADE THEATRE | 3.3% | 30.34 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER | 3.2% | 31.32 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | HANDSOME REBEL | 3.2% | 31.55 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | THIS IS GUTS | 2.9% | 33.93 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 106.5
PLACE
2 12.5
4 25
8 23.5
QUINELLA
2,8 102
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 51
2,8 39.5
4,8 90.5
FORECAST
8,2 319
TIERCE
8,2,4 1,669
TRIO
2,4,8 169
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 430
QUARTET
8,2,4,10 13,675
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
9/2 10.5
9/8 241.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 34
A1 —