沙田 · 2021-11-28
第 2場
2021-11-28沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的LIGHT OF WANSHI勝出，贏出1-1/4。DARCI JOY獲得亞軍；OSCAR GLORY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 TT 1.34.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | DARCI JOY B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY 早段領放 CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | PLIKCLONE B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 1 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | VIVA POPCORN 後段發力 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VITRALITE 後段發力 XB B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 11 | 155.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SMART PATCH 後段發力 B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | BIG BROOK B/TT1 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 104.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | LEADING FORTUNE J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | SMART FOLKS CP1 H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 84.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | GOOD HEALTH M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 148.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | FULL POWER B/XB C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 13 | 109.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | GO GO SIXTEEN B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 10.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 27.0% | 3.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | PLIKCLONE | 11.9% | 8.40 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | DARCI JOY | 8.6% | 11.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | VIVA POPCORN | 7.2% | 13.98 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.6% | 15.22 | 9 |
| 7 | 14 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.4% | 15.65 | 14 |
| 8 | 5 | BIG BROOK | 4.8% | 20.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 3.9% | 25.70 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | FULL POWER | 2.2% | 46.35 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | SMART PATCH | 2.1% | 48.47 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | SMART FOLKS | 2.0% | 50.05 | 11 |
| 13 | 7 | VITRALITE | 0.9% | 109.14 | 6 |
| 14 | 3 | GOOD HEALTH | 0.7% | 139.82 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 22.5
PLACE
1 16
9 12.5
10 33.5
QUINELLA
9,10 121
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 32
1,10 89.5
9,10 50
FORECAST
9,10 227
TIERCE
9,10,1 586
TRIO
1,9,10 174
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 259
QUARTET
9,10,1,12 3,471
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
13/9 89.5
13/10 88
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A3 —
A2 —