沙田 · 2021-11-28
第 1場
2021-11-28沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SPARKLING DOLPHIN勝出，贏出SH。NOBLE DESIRE獲得亞軍；GLENEALY GENERALS獲得季軍。頭馬以4.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN 0.56.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 10 | 4.9 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE CP/XB K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 12 | 25.0 | SH |
| 3 | 14 | GLENEALY GENERALS B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 14 | 9.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | WONDERFUL HORSE C L Chau · C Fownes | C L Chau | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | INFINITY WIN CP-/B1/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | EUROMISSILE CP/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 67.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GORGEOUS VITALITY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | CORRIENTHES SR M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 7 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | AQUILA XB L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 6 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | ALL RICHES K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | FELIX THE KING H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 4 | 160.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR E1 J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 8 | 5.4 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INFINITY WIN | 17.0% | 5.88 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 13.3% | 7.54 | 14 |
| 3 | 13 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 10.8% | 9.29 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 10.0% | 9.98 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | CORRIENTHES | 8.5% | 11.71 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | WONDERFUL HORSE | 7.2% | 13.86 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 6.5% | 15.36 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 6.5% | 15.40 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | ALL RICHES | 5.8% | 17.23 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 5.1% | 19.53 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE | 3.9% | 25.33 | 2 |
| 12 | 4 | EUROMISSILE | 2.1% | 48.57 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | FELIX THE KING | 1.8% | 54.34 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | AQUILA | 1.4% | 69.56 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 49.5
PLACE
5 64
13 20.5
14 57.5
QUINELLA
5,13 591
QUINELLA PLACE
5,13 213
5,14 560.5
13,14 183.5
FORECAST
13,5 988
TIERCE
13,5,14 12,938
TRIO
5,13,14 3,601
FIRST 4
2,5,13,14 4,677
QUARTET
13,5,14,2 71,357
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 27
A3 —
A2 —