沙田 · 2021-11-28
第 8場
2021-11-28沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SOULMATE勝出，贏出2-1/2。SUPER TEN獲得亞軍；XIANG YIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.7倍大熱門XIANG YIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SOULMATE 後段發力 1.33.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 8 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER TEN 早段領放 B-/XB/CP2 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | XIANG YIN 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CHAMPION DRAGON 後段發力 H1/TT1 M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL 後段發力 B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | FUNCTION PATCH 後段發力 B/H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | INTREPID WINNER 後段發力 B1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 147.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | PACKING FAMOUS B/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 2 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON 後段發力 H1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 13 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT V L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 12 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | HIT THE SHOT 後段發力 P1/TT1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 9.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | KASI FARASI TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 121.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | KING TOURBILLON B- K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 195.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SOULMATE | 31.1% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HIT THE SHOT | 17.7% | 5.66 | 11 |
| 3 | 9 | XIANG YIN | 15.4% | 6.51 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER TEN | 7.2% | 13.87 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | PACKING FAMOUS | 5.9% | 16.93 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 5.3% | 18.93 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.0% | 25.26 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON | 3.7% | 26.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 13 | KASI FARASI | 2.8% | 35.71 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | INTREPID WINNER | 2.5% | 40.45 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 2.3% | 43.51 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | FUNCTION PATCH | 1.6% | 62.40 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | KING TOURBILLON | 0.6% | 163.23 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 39.5
PLACE
6 17.5
9 13.5
11 17
QUINELLA
6,11 111
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 31.5
6,11 41
9,11 25.5
FORECAST
11,6 250
TIERCE
11,6,9 410
TRIO
6,9,11 71
FIRST 4
5,6,9,11 173
QUARTET
11,6,9,5 3,874
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/6 47.5
11/11 253.5