Sha Tin · 2021-11-28
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOULMATE Closed strongly 1.33.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 8 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER TEN Led early B-/XB/CP2 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | XIANG YIN Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON Closed strongly H1/TT1 M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 147.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS B/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 2 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly H1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 13 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT V L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 12 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT Closed strongly P1/TT1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 9.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | KASI FARASI TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 121.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON B- K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 195.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-28 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SOULMATE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/2, with SUPER TEN second and XIANG YIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite XIANG YIN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOULMATE | 31.1% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT | 17.7% | 5.66 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | XIANG YIN | 15.4% | 6.51 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER TEN | 7.2% | 13.87 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 5.9% | 16.93 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 5.3% | 18.93 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.0% | 25.26 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 3.7% | 26.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 2.8% | 35.71 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 2.5% | 40.45 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 2.3% | 43.51 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH | 1.6% | 62.40 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON | 0.6% | 163.23 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 39.5
PLACE
6 17.5
9 13.5
11 17
QUINELLA
6,11 111
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 31.5
6,11 41
9,11 25.5
FORECAST
11,6 250
TIERCE
11,6,9 410
TRIO
6,9,11 71
FIRST 4
5,6,9,11 173
QUARTET
11,6,9,5 3,874
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
7TH DOUBLE
11/6 47.5
11/11 253.5