Sha Tin · 2021-11-28
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS Closed strongly B 1.33.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 8 | 46.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | THE ROCK Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 9.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS E/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 4.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 62.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 4 | 73.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | VOYAGE WARRIOR Led early R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 10 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | BUDDIES H M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 9 | 93.0 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-28 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SILVER EXPRESS, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with EXCELLENT PROPOSAL second and BUTTERFIELD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite EXCELLENT PROPOSAL finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 30.6% | 3.27 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 17.5% | 5.73 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | THE ROCK | 11.4% | 8.75 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS | 9.9% | 10.11 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 5.9% | 17.04 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | BUDDIES | 5.2% | 19.34 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD | 4.5% | 22.43 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 4.1% | 24.27 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 3.3% | 30.41 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 2.9% | 34.79 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 2.6% | 38.76 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 2.3% | 43.72 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 55.5
PLACE
2 66.5
6 12.5
11 20
QUINELLA
6,11 71
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 156
2,11 271
6,11 33
FORECAST
11,6 197
TIERCE
11,6,2 2,979
TRIO
2,6,11 728
FIRST 4
2,6,8,11 1,059
QUARTET
11,6,2,8 22,218
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,9/2,6,11 28,206
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 34
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/6 15.5
7/11 335.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 —
B3 —
B1 —
B2 12