Sha Tin · 2021-11-28
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-28 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LIGHT OF WANSHI, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with DARCI JOY second and OSCAR GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT 1.34.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | DARCI JOY B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | PLIKCLONE B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 1 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VITRALITE Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 11 | 155.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | BIG BROOK B/TT1 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 104.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | LEADING FORTUNE J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | SMART FOLKS CP1 H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 84.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | GOOD HEALTH M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 148.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | FULL POWER B/XB C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 13 | 109.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | GO GO SIXTEEN B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 10.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 27.0% | 3.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | PLIKCLONE | 11.9% | 8.40 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | DARCI JOY | 8.6% | 11.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | VIVA POPCORN | 7.2% | 13.98 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.6% | 15.22 | 9 |
| 7 | 14 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.4% | 15.65 | 14 |
| 8 | 5 | BIG BROOK | 4.8% | 20.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 3.9% | 25.70 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | FULL POWER | 2.2% | 46.35 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | SMART PATCH | 2.1% | 48.47 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | SMART FOLKS | 2.0% | 50.05 | 11 |
| 13 | 7 | VITRALITE | 0.9% | 109.14 | 6 |
| 14 | 3 | GOOD HEALTH | 0.7% | 139.82 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 22.5
PLACE
1 16
9 12.5
10 33.5
QUINELLA
9,10 121
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 32
1,10 89.5
9,10 50
FORECAST
9,10 227
TIERCE
9,10,1 586
TRIO
1,9,10 174
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 259
QUARTET
9,10,1,12 3,471
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
13/9 89.5
13/10 88
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A3 —
A2 —