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Sha Tin · 2021-11-28

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT 1.34.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So 2 2.2 1-1/4
2 0 DARCI JOY B K C Leung · P F Yiu 9 12.0 1-1/4
3 0 OSCAR GLORY Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor 10 5.6 1-1/2
4 0 PLIKCLONE B A Hamelin · D J Hall 1 9.4 1-1/2
5 0 VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 8 7.8 1-3/4
6 0 VITRALITE Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D E Ferraris 11 155.0 3-1/4
7 0 SMART PATCH Closed strongly B V Borges · P O'Sullivan 12 39.0 3-1/2
8 0 BIG BROOK B/TT1 K H Chan · C Fownes 4 104.0 4-1/4
9 0 LEADING FORTUNE J Moreira · J Size 7 12.0 4-3/4
10 0 SUPER ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 6 28.0 6
11 0 SMART FOLKS CP1 H N Wong · C W Chang 5 84.0 7-1/2
12 0 GOOD HEALTH M L Yeung · D A Hayes 14 148.0 7-3/4
13 0 FULL POWER B/XB C L Chau · R Gibson 13 109.0 8
14 0 GO GO SIXTEEN B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 10.0 10
— 0 DECISIVE ACTION R Maia · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-28 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LIGHT OF WANSHI, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with DARCI JOY second and OSCAR GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LIGHT OF WANSHI—2. DARCI JOY+1.25L3. OSCAR GLORY+1.5L4. PLIKCLONE+1.5L5. VIVA POPCORN+1.75L6. VITRALITE+3.25L7. SMART PATCH+3.5L8. BIG BROOK+4.25L9. LEADING FORTUNE+4.75L10. SUPER ELEGANCE+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LIGHT OF WANSHI (27.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI 27.0% 3.71 1
2 0 OSCAR GLORY 15.9% 6.29 3
3 0 PLIKCLONE 11.9% 8.40 4
4 0 DARCI JOY 8.6% 11.65 2
5 0 VIVA POPCORN 7.2% 13.98 5
6 0 LEADING FORTUNE 6.6% 15.22 9
7 0 GO GO SIXTEEN 6.4% 15.65 14
8 0 BIG BROOK 4.8% 20.87 8
9 0 SUPER ELEGANCE 3.9% 25.70 10
10 0 FULL POWER 2.2% 46.35 13
11 0 SMART PATCH 2.1% 48.47 7
12 0 SMART FOLKS 2.0% 50.05 11
13 0 VITRALITE 0.9% 109.14 6
14 0 GOOD HEALTH 0.7% 139.82 12
LIGHT OF WANSHI — wonOSCAR GLORYPLIKCLONEDARCI JOYVIVA POPCORNLEADING FORTUNEGO GO SIXTEENBIG BROOKSUPER ELEGANCEFULL POWERSMART PATCHSMART FOLKSVITRALITEGOOD HEALTH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 22.5

PLACE

1 16

9 12.5

10 33.5

QUINELLA

9,10 121

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 32

1,10 89.5

9,10 50

FORECAST

9,10 227

TIERCE

9,10,1 586

TRIO

1,9,10 174

FIRST 4

1,9,10,12 259

QUARTET

9,10,1,12 3,471

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

13/9 89.5

13/10 88

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 18.5