Sha Tin · 2021-11-28
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-28 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT SPIRIT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with FLYING SWORD second and HAPPY DAILY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly 1.21.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING SWORD Led early B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 5 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 9 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | BOOM STITCH Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | VUKAN Closed strongly XB B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | MEGA BONUS XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 4 | 9.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 7 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 9.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MR ALDAN Closed strongly B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 11 | 65.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | TRONIC MIGHTY XB/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 78.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | FASTER B1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 136.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | BOYS PARTY XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 14 | 143.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING SWORD | 23.8% | 4.20 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 15.1% | 6.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | BOOM STITCH | 12.6% | 7.94 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | KUNG FU TEA | 10.7% | 9.36 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | BAEBAE TSOI | 9.2% | 10.85 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | MEGA BONUS | 7.6% | 13.11 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR | 5.2% | 19.41 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.6% | 21.88 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | SO AWESOME | 3.9% | 25.50 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | VUKAN | 2.6% | 38.85 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | MR ALDAN | 1.9% | 53.09 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | FASTER | 1.2% | 85.87 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 0.8% | 119.32 | 12 |
| 14 | 8 | BOYS PARTY | 0.8% | 125.20 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 52.5
PLACE
3 21.5
7 18
9 27
QUINELLA
3,7 152
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 61.5
3,9 104
7,9 108
FORECAST
7,3 317
TIERCE
7,3,9 1,938
TRIO
3,7,9 420
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 328
QUARTET
7,3,9,2 7,637
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 26
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/3 43
3/7 419.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
10,11,13/3,6,9/Any Combination 903,832