Sha Tin · 2021-11-28
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1.20.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MY SUGAR Closed strongly CP Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 6 | 70.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN Closed strongly B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 12 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | KINDA COOL Closed strongly B2 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 45.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 11 | 77.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly TT1 K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 9 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | IGNITING Led early B- K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 2 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO Closed strongly B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 7 | 315.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | SEATTLE CHOICE M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 14 | 115.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MR CROISSANT CP H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 232.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE B V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 5 | 138.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MISTER SNOWDON SR-/CP C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 13 | 21.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-28 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BLAZE WARRIOR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1, with MY SUGAR second and TEMPEST EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite MY SUGAR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY SUGAR | 41.2% | 2.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 35.4% | 2.82 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 5.5% | 18.23 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | MISTER SNOWDON | 3.7% | 26.80 | 14 |
| 5 | 0 | KINDA COOL | 2.8% | 35.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 2.8% | 35.78 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 1.7% | 58.23 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 1.6% | 61.72 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | IGNITING | 1.3% | 76.38 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 1.3% | 78.96 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 1.0% | 101.73 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 0.7% | 148.12 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 0.5% | 205.26 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | MR CROISSANT | 0.4% | 234.14 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 28
PLACE
3 12.5
8 13.5
14 109
QUINELLA
3,8 33.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 19
3,14 188.5
8,14 230
FORECAST
8,3 58
TIERCE
8,3,14 1,542
TRIO
3,8,14 448
FIRST 4
3,6,8,14 392
QUARTET
8,3,14,6 5,975
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 13.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/3,8,14 26,198
9TH DOUBLE
2/3 34.5
2/8 232
SIX UP
3,6/3,7/6,11/6,11/1,2/3,8 1,090
3/7/11/11/2/8 275,029
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
11/2/3 188
11/2/8 1,067