沙田 · 2022-06-19 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-06-19沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的CHEVALIER PRINCE勝出，贏出3/4。LET'S DO IT獲得亞軍；TURQUOISE ALPHA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門LET'S DO IT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHEVALIER PRINCE 後段發力 CP 1.35.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 8.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | LET'S DO IT 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | TURQUOISE ALPHA 後段發力 CP/H/XB R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 7.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | PALACE PAL 後段發力 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | KING TOURBILLON 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 11 | 52.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | ETERNAL BLOOM L Currie · P F Yiu | L Currie | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | FIERY FLYING 後段發力 H K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 8 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | DECISIVE ACTION CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 5.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BEAUTY NOVA B- L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 10 | 39.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 5 | 108.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 7 | 49.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | LEISURE AND GOLD 早段領放 H M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 185.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LET'S DO IT | 17.7% | 5.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 13.7% | 7.29 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 12.3% | 8.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 12.1% | 8.29 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 10.6% | 9.42 | 8 |
| 6 | 14 | ON EXCEL STAR | 8.7% | 11.45 | 13 |
| 7 | 3 | PALACE PAL | 7.8% | 12.78 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | HANG'S DECISION | 4.4% | 22.79 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | DECISIVE ACTION | 3.6% | 27.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | FIERY FLYING | 3.0% | 33.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | BEAUTY NOVA | 2.7% | 37.05 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 1.5% | 66.14 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | KING TOURBILLON | 0.9% | 111.10 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 0.9% | 111.26 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 86
PLACE
4 15
5 27
12 26
QUINELLA
4,5 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 53.5
4,12 55.5
5,12 120.5
FORECAST
5,4 300
TIERCE
5,4,12 2,550
TRIO
4,5,12 379
FIRST 4
3,4,5,12 1,008
QUARTET
5,4,12,3 21,906
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,13/4,5,12 5,309
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 23
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/4 20.5
3/5 248