沙田 · 2022-06-19 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-06-19沙田第2場,Class 4,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的LUCKY EIGHT勝出,贏出2-1/4。CHICKEN DANCE獲得亞軍;LUCK STAR獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY EIGHT 1.09.87 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 7 | 2.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | LUCK STAR H- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | TURBO POWER Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 64.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | INFINITY WIN TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MIGHTY STAR B1/H1/TT1 M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 105.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | EASY LIFE CP1/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 74.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR B/XB/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 5 | 13.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 14 | 20.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | SUPER KINGDOM B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 13 | 137.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 13.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TURBO POWER | 18.2% | 5.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY EIGHT | 12.6% | 7.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | INFINITY WIN | 9.6% | 10.42 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 9.5% | 10.53 | 12 |
| 5 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR | 9.3% | 10.75 | 11 |
| 6 | 13 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 9.2% | 10.89 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE | 8.3% | 12.11 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | MIGHTY STAR | 7.5% | 13.37 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 5.1% | 19.43 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.7% | 21.15 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 1.9% | 51.67 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | SUPER KINGDOM | 1.8% | 54.40 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | EASY LIFE | 1.2% | 86.60 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | LUCK STAR | 1.0% | 98.18 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 23.5
PLACE
5 14
7 49.5
12 25
QUINELLA
5,7 210
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 84
5,12 53.5
7,12 217
FORECAST
5,7 478
TIERCE
5,7,12 2,887
TRIO
5,7,12 455
FIRST 4
1,5,7,12 1,142
QUARTET
5,7,12,1 23,649
全部彩池(另 2 項)
1ST DOUBLE
12/5 410
12/7 368
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20