沙田 · 2022-06-19 · 13:01
第 1場
2022-06-19沙田第1場，Class 5，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的TURF BRILLIANT勝出，贏出N。HYPERION TREE獲得亞軍；FLASH FAMOUS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門AMAZING BOY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TURF BRILLIANT 後段發力 B 2.03.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 9.2 | N |
| 2 | 1 | HYPERION TREE B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 9.6 | N |
| 3 | 11 | FLASH FAMOUS 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 14 | 31.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | SKY GEM 後段發力 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE 後段發力 V- C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | AMAZING BOY CP/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 2 | 4.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | FLYING MIGHTY 後段發力 B/TT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 9 | 7.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 6 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL B/H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 1 | 8.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE 後段發力 B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 12 | 49.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | EEVEE B/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 11 | 5.8 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MAKE IT TURBO B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 13 | 41.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | GREAT TREASURE K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 37.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | ORIENTAL AMIGO 早段領放 B/SR H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 73.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AMAZING BOY | 20.4% | 4.91 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | EEVEE | 15.0% | 6.69 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | HYPERION TREE | 9.7% | 10.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | FLYING MIGHTY | 8.8% | 11.36 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | SKY GEM | 7.6% | 13.23 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | TURF BRILLIANT | 6.6% | 15.12 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL | 5.8% | 17.12 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE | 5.7% | 17.47 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | FLASH FAMOUS | 5.7% | 17.49 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | MAKE IT TURBO | 4.8% | 20.72 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 2.9% | 34.87 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.7% | 37.45 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.2% | 44.65 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 2.1% | 47.51 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 92
PLACE
1 37
11 71.5
12 30.5
QUINELLA
1,12 523
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 498.5
1,12 169.5
11,12 411.5
FORECAST
12,1 1,082
TIERCE
12,1,11 23,643
TRIO
1,11,12 4,758
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 7,511
QUARTET
12,1,11,8 175,171
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 25.5
A1 —
A2 —