沙田 · 2022-06-19 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-06-19沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、D J Hall訓練的EIGHT TRIGRAMS勝出，贏出N。JUMBO FORTUNE獲得亞軍；KILINDINI獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門BRILLIANT WAY跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT 1.09.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 11 | 47.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | JUMBO FORTUNE H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | KILINDINI TT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 14 | 32.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT H W Lai · R Gibson | H W Lai | R Gibson | 3 | 96.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | KING LAND TT- B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 8 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 2.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BEAUTY CHARGE H1/TT1 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | REGENCY BO BO B2/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 9 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FLY ON EARTH H1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 143.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER KING SR1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 74.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | SPIRITED EXPRESS B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 21.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | MIDORI BEAUTY TT1 K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 12 | 5.6 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 27.1% | 3.69 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | FLAMING PASSION | 14.0% | 7.14 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | BRILLIANT WAY | 12.9% | 7.77 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 9.2% | 10.92 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 5.9% | 16.94 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | KILINDINI | 5.3% | 18.76 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 5.0% | 20.01 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER KING | 4.2% | 23.77 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 3.6% | 28.02 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | KING LAND | 3.2% | 30.96 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | MIDORI BEAUTY | 3.0% | 33.77 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | REGENCY BO BO | 2.7% | 37.45 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | FLY ON EARTH | 2.7% | 37.56 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.4% | 73.66 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 473.5
PLACE
1 33
5 65
11 88.5
QUINELLA
1,11 3,143
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 401
1,11 726
5,11 1,299
FORECAST
11,1 6,379
TIERCE
11,1,5 122,826
TRIO
1,5,11 18,385
FIRST 4
1,5,11,14 102,707
QUARTET
11,1,5,14 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 33
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/1 184.5
2/11 4,260.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,12/2,9,10/Any Combination 1,071