沙田 · 2022-06-19 · 14:00
第 3場
2022-06-19沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA VANES勝出，贏出1/2。BEAUTY TYCOON獲得亞軍；HAPPY FAT CAT獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門BEAUTY TYCOON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT 1.10.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY TYCOON J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 1.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | HAPPY FAT CAT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | COMPASSION SUPER M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | REGENT GLORY L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB/H1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 38.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | OVER THE MOON B1/TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 62.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY HERO B1 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 2 | 55.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SEATOSKY H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | EASY SNIP CP1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | SPLENDID STAR H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 209.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | KARUIZAWA B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 123.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | STAND UP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 67.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | DREAM CATCHER K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 9 | 184.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 28.0% | 3.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 26.9% | 3.72 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | REGENT GLORY | 8.0% | 12.53 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | OVER THE MOON | 7.5% | 13.27 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | SEATOSKY | 5.2% | 19.05 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | STAND UP | 4.5% | 22.00 | 13 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY HERO | 4.2% | 23.96 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | KARUIZAWA | 3.1% | 32.75 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | KING ECCELLENTE | 3.0% | 33.89 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | COMPASSION SUPER | 2.7% | 36.44 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 2.2% | 45.88 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | EASY SNIP | 2.0% | 48.97 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | DREAM CATCHER | 1.8% | 54.47 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | SPLENDID STAR | 0.8% | 120.47 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 37
PLACE
2 10.1
3 13.5
13 39.5
QUINELLA
2,3 26
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 15.5
2,13 56
3,13 73.5
FORECAST
3,2 86
TIERCE
3,2,13 598
TRIO
2,3,13 116
FIRST 4
2,3,10,13 502
QUARTET
3,2,13,10 5,748
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/2 10.5
5/3 92.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24
A1 —