Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-06-19 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-19 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EIGHT TRIGRAMS, ridden by H T Mo and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and KILINDINI third. The 2.8 favourite BRILLIANT WAY finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.09.50
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT 1.09.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · D J Hall 11 47.0 N
2 1 JUMBO FORTUNE H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 13.0 N
3 5 KILINDINI TT C L Chau · A T Millard 14 32.0 2
4 14 RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT H W Lai · R Gibson 3 96.0 2-1/2
5 12 FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 4 12.0 2-1/2
6 2 KING LAND TT- B Shinn · T P Yung 8 12.0 3-1/4
7 4 BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size 7 2.8 3-1/4
8 9 BEAUTY CHARGE H1/TT1 Z Purton · A S Cruz 6 4.9 4-1/4
9 10 REGENCY BO BO B2/TT R Maia · C S Shum 9 40.0 4-1/2
10 7 ARMOUR EAGLE B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui 5 10.0 5-1/4
11 6 FLY ON EARTH H1 H Bentley · K H Ting 1 143.0 6-1/4
12 8 SUPER KING SR1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 10 74.0 7-3/4
13 3 SPIRITED EXPRESS B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu 13 21.0 14-1/4
14 13 MIDORI BEAUTY TT1 K C Leung · W Y So 12 5.6 15-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EIGHT TRIGRAMS2. JUMBO FORTUNE+0.05L3. KILINDINI+2L4. RIGHT HONOURABLE+2.5L5. FLAMING PASSION+2.5L6. KING LAND+3.25L7. BRILLIANT WAY+3.25L8. BEAUTY CHARGE+4.25L9. REGENCY BO BO+4.5L10. ARMOUR EAGLE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick JUMBO FORTUNE (27.1%) finished 2nd — the winner EIGHT TRIGRAMS was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 JUMBO FORTUNE 27.1% 3.69 2
2 12 FLAMING PASSION 14.0% 7.14 5
3 4 BRILLIANT WAY 12.9% 7.77 7
4 9 BEAUTY CHARGE 9.2% 10.92 8
5 7 ARMOUR EAGLE 5.9% 16.94 10
6 5 KILINDINI 5.3% 18.76 3
7 3 SPIRITED EXPRESS 5.0% 20.01 13
8 8 SUPER KING 4.2% 23.77 12
9 11 EIGHT TRIGRAMS 3.6% 28.02 1
10 2 KING LAND 3.2% 30.96 6
11 13 MIDORI BEAUTY 3.0% 33.77 14
12 10 REGENCY BO BO 2.7% 37.45 9
13 6 FLY ON EARTH 2.7% 37.56 11
14 14 RIGHT HONOURABLE 1.4% 73.66 4
JUMBO FORTUNEFLAMING PASSIONBRILLIANT WAYBEAUTY CHARGEARMOUR EAGLEKILINDINISPIRITED EXPRESSSUPER KINGEIGHT TRIGRAMS — wonKING LANDMIDORI BEAUTYREGENCY BO BOFLY ON EARTHRIGHT HONOURABLE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 473.5

PLACE

1 33

5 65

11 88.5

QUINELLA

1,11 3,143

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 401

1,11 726

5,11 1,299

FORECAST

11,1 6,379

TIERCE

11,1,5 122,826

TRIO

1,5,11 18,385

FIRST 4

1,5,11,14 102,707

QUARTET

11,1,5,14

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 33

A2

5TH DOUBLE

2/1 184.5

2/11 4,260.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,5,12/2,9,10/Any Combination 1,071