Sha Tin · 2022-06-19 · 16:06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS Closed strongly B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH H/V C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 8.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STRONGER SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT Led early CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 19.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS B H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 4 | 14.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | 2.0 | 1 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-19 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY EXPRESS, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by 1, with HEALTHY HAPPY second and BLAZE WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite BEAUTY JOY did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
| 2 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 29.8% | 3.35 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS | 6.1% | 16.50 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH | 6.0% | 16.58 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 5.4% | 18.57 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 4.4% | 22.63 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 4.1% | 24.33 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 3.2% | 31.52 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | STRONGER | 3.1% | 32.68 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 20
PLACE
3 12
4 31
5 75
QUINELLA
3,4 142
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 51.5
3,5 116
4,5 415.5
FORECAST
3,4 173
TIERCE
3,4,5 2,956
TRIO
3,4,5 1,028
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 815
QUARTET
3,4,5,9 12,484
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,11/3,4,5 1,454,201
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/3 1,667
11/4 1,413.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 —
B3 —
B2 18
B1 —