Sha Tin · 2022-06-19 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly CP 1.35.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 8.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/H/XB R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 7.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 11 | 52.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ETERNAL BLOOM L Currie · P F Yiu | L Currie | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 8 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 5.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA B- L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 10 | 39.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 5 | 108.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 7 | 49.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | LEISURE AND GOLD Led early H M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 185.0 | 18-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-19 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHEVALIER PRINCE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with LET'S DO IT second and TURQUOISE ALPHA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite LET'S DO IT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LET'S DO IT | 17.7% | 5.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 13.7% | 7.29 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 12.3% | 8.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 12.1% | 8.29 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 10.6% | 9.42 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR | 8.7% | 11.45 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | PALACE PAL | 7.8% | 12.78 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 4.4% | 22.79 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 3.6% | 27.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | FIERY FLYING | 3.0% | 33.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 2.7% | 37.05 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 1.5% | 66.14 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON | 0.9% | 111.10 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 0.9% | 111.26 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 86
PLACE
4 15
5 27
12 26
QUINELLA
4,5 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 53.5
4,12 55.5
5,12 120.5
FORECAST
5,4 300
TIERCE
5,4,12 2,550
TRIO
4,5,12 379
FIRST 4
3,4,5,12 1,008
QUARTET
5,4,12,3 21,906
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,13/4,5,12 5,309
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23
3RD DOUBLE
3/4 20.5
3/5 248