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Sha Tin · 2022-06-19 · 17:48

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SECRET VISION Closed strongly 1.35.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C S Shum 10 4.9 3/4
2 0 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu 1 3.8 3/4
3 0 ORIENTAL SMOKE Led early B Z Purton · D A Hayes 7 4.7 1-3/4
4 0 NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 8 16.0 1-3/4
5 0 DARCI JOY B C Wong · P F Yiu 6 17.0 2-1/2
6 0 SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 3 8.6 4-1/4
7 0 LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B B Shinn · J Size 12 54.0 4-1/2
8 0 TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size 5 67.0 6
9 0 MASSIVE ACTION V M Chadwick · F C Lor 4 6.5 6-1/2
10 0 HIT THE SHOT TT L Currie · J Size 9 39.0 6-3/4
11 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 11 19.0 7-1/2
12 0 VICTORY PARK V/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 47.0 7-3/4
13 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE B/E/TT H W Lai · W Y So 2 69.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-19 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SECRET VISION, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with POWERFUL WINGS second and ORIENTAL SMOKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite POWERFUL WINGS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SECRET VISION—2. POWERFUL WINGS+0.75L3. ORIENTAL SMOKE+1.75L4. NEARLY FINE+1.75L5. DARCI JOY+2.5L6. SUPER OASIS+4.25L7. LEADING FORTUNE+4.5L8. TEMPEST EXPRESS+6L9. MASSIVE ACTION+6.5L10. HIT THE SHOT+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MASSIVE ACTION (21.8%) finished 9th — the winner SECRET VISION was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MASSIVE ACTION 21.8% 4.59 9
2 0 ORIENTAL SMOKE 17.3% 5.79 3
3 0 NEARLY FINE 15.5% 6.44 4
4 0 POWERFUL WINGS 12.0% 8.35 2
5 0 SUPER OASIS 10.8% 9.24 6
6 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS 4.4% 22.71 11
7 0 SECRET VISION 4.2% 24.09 1
8 0 DARCI JOY 3.6% 27.97 5
9 0 LEADING FORTUNE 2.8% 36.36 7
10 0 VICTORY PARK 2.7% 36.45 12
11 0 HIT THE SHOT 2.4% 42.03 10
12 0 TEMPEST EXPRESS 1.3% 74.60 8
13 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE 1.2% 80.03 13
MASSIVE ACTIONORIENTAL SMOKENEARLY FINEPOWERFUL WINGSSUPER OASISDELIGHTFUL LAOSSECRET VISION — wonDARCI JOYLEADING FORTUNEVICTORY PARKHIT THE SHOTTEMPEST EXPRESSEXCEPTIONAL NICE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 49.5

PLACE

5 20.5

8 16.5

9 18

QUINELLA

8,9 111.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 47.5

5,9 51.5

8,9 43.5

FORECAST

9,8 244

TIERCE

9,8,5 1,150

TRIO

5,8,9 187

FIRST 4

5,7,8,9 332

QUARTET

9,8,5,7 8,124

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 21

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,8/5,8,9 46,401

9TH DOUBLE

1/8 62

1/9 516.5

SIX UP

2,10/1,11/3,4/1,8/1,8/8,9 6,439

2/11/3/1/1/9 2,955,550

1 [Z Purton] —

TREBLE

1/1/8 112

1/1/9 1,007