Sha Tin · 2022-06-19 · 17:48
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-19 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SECRET VISION, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with POWERFUL WINGS second and ORIENTAL SMOKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite POWERFUL WINGS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SECRET VISION Closed strongly 1.35.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 10 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Led early B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | DARCI JOY B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 6 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 12 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 67.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | MASSIVE ACTION V M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 6.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | HIT THE SHOT TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 9 | 39.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 19.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | VICTORY PARK V/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 47.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE B/E/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 2 | 69.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MASSIVE ACTION | 21.8% | 4.59 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 17.3% | 5.79 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | NEARLY FINE | 15.5% | 6.44 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | POWERFUL WINGS | 12.0% | 8.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER OASIS | 10.8% | 9.24 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 4.4% | 22.71 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | SECRET VISION | 4.2% | 24.09 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | DARCI JOY | 3.6% | 27.97 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | LEADING FORTUNE | 2.8% | 36.36 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | VICTORY PARK | 2.7% | 36.45 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | HIT THE SHOT | 2.4% | 42.03 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 1.3% | 74.60 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 1.2% | 80.03 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 49.5
PLACE
5 20.5
8 16.5
9 18
QUINELLA
8,9 111.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 47.5
5,9 51.5
8,9 43.5
FORECAST
9,8 244
TIERCE
9,8,5 1,150
TRIO
5,8,9 187
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 332
QUARTET
9,8,5,7 8,124
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,8/5,8,9 46,401
9TH DOUBLE
1/8 62
1/9 516.5
SIX UP
2,10/1,11/3,4/1,8/1,8/8,9 6,439
2/11/3/1/1/9 2,955,550
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/1/8 112
1/1/9 1,007